Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
War + Military: a typical launch earns $2,155 in its first year
That is the median of 64 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 15 of 118 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 13.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 13% on the year before: 90 against 80.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $2,155 median of 64 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +42.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 90 80 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 244 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 837 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.43%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.42% to 3.22% | 42 ranked of 244 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,161 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.13xhits against expected | 0.82x to 1.56x | 118 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,062 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +37%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +6% to +86% | 40 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #344 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +13%review growth against same-age games | −4% to +28% | 40 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #172 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 118
- Hit rate
- 12.7%9.4% to 19.0%
- Expected rate
- 11.0%
- Against expected
- 1.13x0.82x to 1.56x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
118 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $1,619
- Top tenth
- $157,154
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +13%
- Against Steam
- −17%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Hell Let Loose: Vietnam (opens the Steam store)2026 · 11,087 reviews, 61% positiveest. $8.9M
- IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 13,930 reviews, 97% positiveest. $5.3M
- Nuclear Option (opens the Steam store)2023 · 10,455 reviews, 95% positiveest. $4.2M
- Master of Command (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,876 reviews, 92% positiveest. $2.3M
- Three Kingdoms Mushouden (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,880 reviews, 72% positiveest. $951k
- Sir, We Have an Orc Problem (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,400 reviews, 86% positiveest. $890k
- Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,365 reviews, 92% positiveest. $691k
- Arms Trade Tycoon: Tanks (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,005 reviews, 65% positiveest. $610k
More with War
pairs with War- RTS + War$4,48634 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- War + Historical$4,39930 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Tactics$4,30130 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + War$2,942102 launches priced, 126 releases in 12 months
More with Military
pairs with Military- Simulation + Military$2,91247 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Military$1,45661 launches priced, 118 releases in 12 months
- Military + Wargame$1,21466 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Military$97133 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Action + Military$80987 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Military$54557 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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