Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Strategy + War: a typical launch earns $2,942 in its first year
That is the median of 102 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 19 of 169 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 19.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 3% on the year before: 126 against 122.
- Price
- $2,942 median of 102 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +303.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 126 122 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 371 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,198 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 2.64%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 1.00% to 4.46% | 52 ranked of 372 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #79 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.98xhits against expected | 0.73x to 1.33x | 169 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,875 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +51%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +23% to +87% | 60 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #175 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +15%review growth against same-age games | 0% to +27% | 60 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #120 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 169
- Hit rate
- 11.8%7.4% to 17.4%
- Expected rate
- 11.5%
- Against expected
- 0.98x0.73x to 1.33x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
170 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $61
- Median
- $2,155
- Top tenth
- $118,584
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +3%
- Against Steam
- −24%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era (opens the Steam store)2026 · 19,441 reviews, 86% positiveest. $15M
- Hell Let Loose: Vietnam (opens the Steam store)2026 · 11,087 reviews, 61% positiveest. $8.9M
- Tempest Rising (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,865 reviews, 87% positiveest. $7.6M
- Terra Invicta (opens the Steam store)2026 · 9,088 reviews, 79% positiveest. $7M
- Stronghold Crusader: Definitive Edition (opens the Steam store)2025 · 10,692 reviews, 92% positiveest. $4.2M
- Master of Command (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,876 reviews, 92% positiveest. $2.3M
- Three Kingdoms Mushouden (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,880 reviews, 72% positiveest. $951k
- Sir, We Have an Orc Problem (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,400 reviews, 86% positiveest. $890k
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with War
pairs with War- RTS + War$4,48634 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- War + Historical$4,39930 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Tactics$4,30130 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- War + Real Time Tactics$2,22531 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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