Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

War + Historical: a typical launch earns $4,399 in its first year

That is the median of 30 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 50 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 7% on the year before: 43 against 40.

Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
One game dominates the figure

Price: $4,399
Price vs a year earlier: −67.8%
Releases, 12 months: 43
Upcoming games: 111
Games on the store: 435

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

War + Historical on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.40%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.25% to 0.67%	30 ranked of 111 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#586 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	0.76xhits against expected	0.52x to 1.14x	50 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,360 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+58%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+11% to +115%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#121 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+22%review growth against same-age games	+12% to +34%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#16 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 7
Expected: 10.2

Launches: 50
Hit rate: 15.7%6.3% to 27.2%
Expected rate: 20.4%
Against expected: 0.76x0.52x to 1.14x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

51 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $303
Median: $4,855
Top tenth: $209,223

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 43
Prior 12 months: 40

Change: +7%
Against Steam: −23%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

WarNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
HistoricalNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with War

pairs with War

RTS + War$4,48634 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
War + Turn-Based Tactics$4,30130 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
Strategy + War$2,942102 launches priced, 126 releases in 12 months
War + Real Time Tactics$2,22531 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months

Every pair with War

More with Historical

pairs with Historical

Story Rich + Historical$9,68533 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Historical$5,28050 launches priced, 124 releases in 12 months
Historical + Wargame$4,50234 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
RPG + Historical$4,25039 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Historical

Verdicts

in development

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