Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Visual Novel + LGBTQ+: a typical launch earns $6,050 in its first year

That is the median of 83 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 179 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 18.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 51% on the year before: 159 against 105.

Price: $6,050
Price vs a year earlier: +35.7%
Releases, 12 months: 159
Upcoming games: 326
Games on the store: 1,018

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Visual Novel + LGBTQ+ on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.23%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.16% to 0.28%	46 ranked of 327 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#964 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.65xhits against expected	0.45x to 0.95x	179 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,009 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+2%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−19% to +24%	65 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,363 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+9%review growth against same-age games	0% to +18%	65 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#340 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 11
Expected: 18.6

Launches: 179
Hit rate: 6.1%5.0% to 13.2%
Expected rate: 10.4%
Against expected: 0.65x0.45x to 0.95x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

179 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $160
Median: $4,388
Top tenth: $62,145

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 159
Prior 12 months: 105

Change: +51%
Against Steam: +7%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Visual NovelGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
LGBTQ+Not a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Visual Novel

pairs with Visual Novel

Visual Novel + FMV$65,06531 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Detective$5,29368 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Investigation$4,88542 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Immersive Sim$4,55364 launches priced, 115 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Romance$3,639179 launches priced, 277 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + First-Person$3,50754 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Visual Novel

More with LGBTQ+

pairs with LGBTQ+

Dating Sim + LGBTQ+$7,36631 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Multiple Endings + LGBTQ+$5,85936 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Romance + LGBTQ+$5,45434 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
Female Protagonist + LGBTQ+$4,85853 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + LGBTQ+$4,79746 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months

Every pair with LGBTQ+

Verdicts

in development

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