Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Dating Sim + LGBTQ+: a typical launch earns $7,366 in its first year

That is the median of 31 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 67 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 15% on the year before: 45 against 39.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: $7,366
Price vs a year earlier: +12.1%
Releases, 12 months: 45
Upcoming games: 132
Games on the store: 365

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Dating Sim + LGBTQ+ on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.10%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.06% to 0.16%	19 ranked of 133 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,692 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.97xhits against expected	0.67x to 1.44x	67 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#6,092 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	+27%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−10% to +72%	23 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#571 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	+6%review growth against same-age games	−3% to +16%	23 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#507 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 8
Expected: 8.4

Launches: 67
Hit rate: 11.9%4.7% to 21.9%
Expected rate: 12.5%
Against expected: 0.97x0.67x to 1.44x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

67 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $194
Median: $7,217
Top tenth: $174,811

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 45
Prior 12 months: 39

Change: +15%
Against Steam: −16%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Dating SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
LGBTQ+Not a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Dating Sim

pairs with Dating Sim

Dating Sim + FMV$40,45030 launches priced, 28 releases in 12 months
Dating Sim + Otome$6,91133 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Multiple Endings + Dating Sim$6,57961 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
Immersive Sim + Dating Sim$5,95146 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Dating Sim$5,71476 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Dating Sim

More with LGBTQ+

pairs with LGBTQ+

Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + LGBTQ+$6,05083 launches priced, 159 releases in 12 months
Multiple Endings + LGBTQ+$5,85936 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Romance + LGBTQ+$5,45434 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
Female Protagonist + LGBTQ+$4,85853 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + LGBTQ+$4,79746 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months

Every pair with LGBTQ+

Verdicts

in development

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