Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Thriller + Dark: a typical launch earns $1,695 in its first year
That is the median of 79 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 6 of 147 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 11% on the year before: 84 against 94.
- Price
- $1,695 median of 79 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +3.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 84 94 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 190 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 525 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.07%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 0.10% | 12 ranked of 190 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,200 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.20xhits against expected | 0.82x to 1.91x | 147 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,751 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 147
- Hit rate
- 4.1%1.4% to 7.3%
- Expected rate
- 3.1%
- Against expected
- 1.20x0.82x to 1.91x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
147 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $81
- Median
- $1,316
- Top tenth
- $27,323
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −11%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Zoochosis (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,205 reviews, 60% positiveest. $1.1M
- s.p.l.i.t (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,917 reviews, 92% positiveest. $237k
- SILENT BREATH (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,128 reviews, 67% positiveest. $228k
- The Lightkeeper (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,092 reviews, 81% positiveest. $177k
- Unpossess: Exorcism Simulator (opens the Steam store)2025 · 373 reviews, 69% positiveest. $113k
- Pieces of me (opens the Steam store)2025 · 597 reviews, 87% positiveest. $109k
- Graveyard Shift (opens the Steam store)2023 · 738 reviews, 75% positiveest. $104k
- Yet Another Killing Game (opens the Steam store)2025 · 247 reviews, 96% positiveest. $85k
More with Thriller
pairs with Thriller- Thriller + Supernatural$5,86733 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Walking Simulator$4,18364 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Thriller$2,90675 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Thriller$2,003167 launches priced, 223 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Mystery$1,820107 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
More with Dark
pairs with Dark- RPG + Dark$3,32642 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
- Dark + Female Protagonist$3,04831 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Dark + Supernatural$2,48942 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Dark$2,427120 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
- Dark + Choices Matter$2,30338 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Dark$1,85867 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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