Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Dark + Supernatural: a typical launch earns $2,489 in its first year

That is the median of 42 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 104 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 37% on the year before: 63 against 46.

Price: $2,489
Price vs a year earlier: +52.3%
Releases, 12 months: 63
Upcoming games: 167
Games on the store: 398

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Dark + Supernatural on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.03% to 0.09%	10 ranked of 167 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#6,257 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.82xhits against expected	0.58x to 1.41x	104 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#3,939 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 3
Expected: 4.3

Launches: 104
Hit rate: 2.9%0.0% to 9.2%
Expected rate: 4.1%
Against expected: 0.82x0.58x to 1.41x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

104 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $60
Median: $1,607
Top tenth: $24,323

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 63
Prior 12 months: 46

Change: +37%

Parent tags

DarkNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
SupernaturalNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Dark

pairs with Dark

RPG + Dark$3,32642 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
Dark + Female Protagonist$3,04831 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Dark$2,427120 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
Dark + Choices Matter$2,30338 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Visual Novel + Dark$1,85867 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
Surreal + Dark$1,69738 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Dark

More with Supernatural

pairs with Supernatural

Thriller + Supernatural$5,86733 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Supernatural$5,82533 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
Walking Simulator + Supernatural$3,23435 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Mystery + Supernatural$2,74350 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Supernatural$2,68995 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
Survival Horror + Supernatural$2,54732 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Supernatural

Verdicts

in development

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