Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Strategy + Match 3: a typical launch earns $40 in its first year

That is the median of 45 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 0 of 87 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 1.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 4% on the year before: 52 against 50.

Price: $40
Price vs a year earlier: −60.4%
Releases, 12 months: 52
Upcoming games: 90
Games on the store: 485

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Strategy + Match 3 on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games.
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.71xhits against expected	0.71x to 1.34x	87 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,648 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 0
Expected: 1.2

Launches: 87
Hit rate: 0.0%0.0% to 0.0%
Expected rate: 1.4%
Against expected: 0.71x0.71x to 1.34x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

87 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $40
Top tenth: $2,791

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 52
Prior 12 months: 50

Change: +4%

Parent tags

StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Match 3Genre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Strategy

pairs with Strategy

Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Strategy

More with Match 3

pairs with Match 3

Puzzle + Match 3$159104 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
Match 3 + 2D$14994 launches priced, 107 releases in 12 months
Match 3 + Colorful$12138 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Match 3 + Point & Click$10135 launches priced, 21 releases in 12 months
Relaxing + Match 3$9142 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
Match 3 + Cuteno price47 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Match 3

Verdicts

in development

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