Match 3 price
$121
down -33.5%on a year earlier
- Launches
- 143
- Window
- 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3
- Rank
- #124 of 126
Median est. first-year revenue of indie paid launches. No price history series is in the site data yet, so there is no chart.
Genre report30 Sep 2026
Match 3 indie launches earn a median $121 in their first year, down 33.5% on a year earlier
Indie launches in Match 3 reached $100k est. revenue 0.41x as often as launches at the same price and in the same quarter across Steam (283 launches).
Standing on six boards
Most anticipated
Share of all wishlist heat on upcoming Steam games, weighted toward dated, near-term releases.
Thin sample: 5 ranked upcoming games. Needs 10 wishlist-ranked upcoming games (5 for a tag pair). Not ranked.
Total wishlist heat, so big genres lead. Not backtested yet: wishlist-rank history started 30 Sep 2026.
Gaining fast
Week-over-week follower growth of upcoming games.
Collecting since 30 Sep, first readings 13 Oct.
Needs 14 days of daily follower counts. Nothing is estimated before then.
Launch success
#115 of 115 genresHow often indie paid launches reached $100k est. revenue, against the rate expected for their price and launch quarter.
down 0.41x
90% interval 0.28x to 0.71x
283 launches, indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6-30 months old)
- 3 of 283 launches reached $100k, against 11.8 expected.
- China-heavy: over 35% of the activity comes from Chinese-language players.
- One game carries much of the reading.
- Ranked after unflagged genres because of this.
1.0x is par: the hit rate of launches at the same price and in the same quarter across Steam. Indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old.
Fewer new releases
Player growth against release growth, relative to Steam overall.
Thin sample: 14 tracked games. Needs 30 tracked games, 1,000 reviews in each window and 20 releases in each 12-month period. Not ranked.
Fewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
Rising demand
How much faster this genre’s games gained reviews than same-age games elsewhere, year on year.
Thin sample: 14 tracked games. Needs 30 tracked games (15 for a tag pair) and 1,000 reviews in each window. Not ranked.
Gaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
Price
#124 of 126 genresMedian est. first-year revenue of indie paid launches over the last four complete quarters.
$121
143 launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3
Estimated from store review counts, so treat it as a level, not an invoice.
Genres are ranked against each other on each board; a "thin" or "too little data" board is left unranked rather than guessed. Every value has its sample size and window beside it.
Top tag pairs
Match 3 + another tag, top 5 per boardSub-markets inside Match 3: games carrying both tags in their top ten. Pairs that hold half or more of the genre's games are left out, since they are the genre again. Each pair links to its own page.
Most anticipated
No Match 3 pair meets this board's minimum sample.
Launch success
| Tag pair | Value | Launches |
|---|---|---|
| Match 3 + Incremental | down 0.80x | 34 |
| Match 3 + Board Game | down 0.74x | 36 |
| Match 3 + Logic | down 0.72x | 31 |
| Strategy + Match 3 | down 0.71x | 87 |
| Match 3 + Card Game | down 0.69x | 32 |
Fewer new releases
No Match 3 pair meets this board's minimum sample.
Rising demand
No Match 3 pair meets this board's minimum sample.
Price
| Tag pair | Price | Launches |
|---|---|---|
| Match 3 + 2D | $149 | 94 |
| Match 3 + Colorful | $121 | 38 |
| Match 3 + Point & Click | $101 | 35 |
| Relaxing + Match 3 | $91 | 42 |
| Strategy + Match 3 | $40 | 45 |
Upcoming Match 3 games
verified 1 Oct 2026From the verified release calendar: games tagged Match 3 among their top store tags, each re-checked against the live store page. Wishlist rank and followers carry the date they were read.
None of the 60 verified games on the release calendar carries Match 3 in its top tags right now. Full calendar
Method
methodology v0.7Revenue figures are estimates from store review counts. Indie means a list price under $40 and not a named major publisher. Board values are computed 1 Oct 2026 from data up to 30 Sep 2026. Validation of the boards against later launches is in progress.
GMD Verdicts
in developmentVerdicts will be a written read on a market, built from the same data and the published method. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.