Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Strategy + Colorful: a typical launch earns $506 in its first year
That is the median of 242 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 16 of 461 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 24.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 43% on the year before: 415 against 291.
- Price
- $506 median of 242 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +108.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 415 291 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 818 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,350 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.09%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.07% to 0.11% | 32 ranked of 818 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,809 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.70xhits against expected | 0.51x to 0.99x | 461 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,713 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −13%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −27% to +1% | 42 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,813 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −9%review growth against same-age games | −17% to 0% | 42 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,216 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 461
- Hit rate
- 3.5%3.2% to 5.7%
- Expected rate
- 5.2%
- Against expected
- 0.70x0.51x to 0.99x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
461 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $364
- Top tenth
- $7,485
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +43%
- Against Steam
- +5%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- DICEOMANCER (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,756 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.1M
- RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,266 reviews, 82% positiveest. $950k
- How Many Dudes? (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,060 reviews, 89% positiveest. $852k
- Cross Blitz (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,560 reviews, 74% positiveest. $726k
- Among Us 3D (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,078 reviews, 72% positiveest. $623k
- Tower Wizard (opens the Steam store)2025 · 8,811 reviews, 96% positiveest. $533k
- A Game About Feeding A Black Hole (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,501 reviews, 88% positiveest. $481k
- Ship, Inc. (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,185 reviews, 83% positiveest. $417k
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with Colorful
pairs with Colorful- Colorful + Cozy$3,63859 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Colorful$3,39962 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Colorful$2,68975 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Emotional$2,00335 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Life Sim$1,85851 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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