Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Sci-fi + Colorful: a typical launch earns $101 in its first year
That is the median of 35 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 74 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 53% on the year before: 58 against 38.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $101 median of 35 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −83.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 58 38 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 141 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 429 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.07% | 12 ranked of 141 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,726 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.88xhits against expected | 0.64x to 1.55x | 74 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,549 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 74
- Hit rate
- 2.7%0.0% to 5.5%
- Expected rate
- 3.6%
- Against expected
- 0.88x0.64x to 1.55x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
74 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $303
- Top tenth
- $8,559
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +53%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Goodnight Universe (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,362 reviews, 96% positiveest. $551k
- SENTRY (opens the Steam store)2024 · 857 reviews, 82% positiveest. $347k
- CUFFBUST (opens the Steam store)2025 · 509 reviews, 52% positiveest. $103k
- How To Grow a Black Hole (opens the Steam store)2026 · 576 reviews, 67% positiveest. $47k
- Hyperspace Deck Command (opens the Steam store)2025 · 92 reviews, 95% positiveest. $37k
- Chromatic Conundrum (opens the Steam store)2026 · 367 reviews, 98% positiveest. $37k
- Astrodle (opens the Steam store)2024 · 226 reviews, 88% positiveest. $27k
- The Electrifying Incident: A Monster Mini-Expedition (opens the Steam store)2025 · 170 reviews, 93% positiveest. $17k
More with Sci-fi
pairs with Sci-fi- Sci-fi + Anime$4,24936 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cyberpunk$3,08346 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cute$1,80330 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Sci-fi$1,61786 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Sci-fi$1,61665 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Sci-fi$1,457125 launches priced, 163 releases in 12 months
More with Colorful
pairs with Colorful- Colorful + Cozy$3,63859 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Colorful$3,39962 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Colorful$2,68975 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Emotional$2,00335 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Life Sim$1,85851 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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