Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Sci-fi + Cute: a typical launch earns $1,803 in its first year
That is the median of 30 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 48 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 14% on the year before: 31 against 36.
- Price
- $1,803 median of 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −52.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 31 36 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 83 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 254 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.05% | 11 ranked of 83 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,857 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.83xhits against expected | 0.61x to 1.45x | 48 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,874 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 48
- Hit rate
- 4.2%0.0% to 14.1%
- Expected rate
- 6.2%
- Against expected
- 0.83x0.61x to 1.45x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
48 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $3,074
- Top tenth
- $52,498
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −14%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Stellar Code (opens the Steam store)2025 · 451 reviews, 97% positiveest. $228k
- ADEN (opens the Steam store)2024 · 671 reviews, 96% positiveest. $122k
- KANADE (opens the Steam store)2025 · 369 reviews, 82% positiveest. $97k
- COCORO (opens the Steam store)2026 · 158 reviews, 89% positiveest. $80k
- LUNARiA -Virtualized Moonchild- (opens the Steam store)2024 · 169 reviews, 94% positiveest. $68k
- SACRIFICE VILLAINS (opens the Steam store)2025 · 130 reviews, 83% positiveest. $53k
- ROLLING STAR (opens the Steam store)2025 · 216 reviews, 96% positiveest. $52k
- Godrop (opens the Steam store)2024 · 269 reviews, 93% positiveest. $49k
More with Sci-fi
pairs with Sci-fi- Sci-fi + Anime$4,24936 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cyberpunk$3,08346 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Sci-fi$1,61786 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Sci-fi$1,61665 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Sci-fi$1,457125 launches priced, 163 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Sci-fi$1,41661 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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