Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Sandbox + Cozy: a typical launch earns $8,901 in its first year

That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 71 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 92% on the year before: 73 against 38.

Price: $8,901
Price vs a year earlier: −27.9%
Releases, 12 months: 73
Upcoming games: 226
Games on the store: 371

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Sandbox + Cozy on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.25%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.17% to 0.37%	23 ranked of 226 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#913 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.99xhits against expected	1.44x to 2.72x	71 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#162 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	−33%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−51% to −5%	15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,193 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−10%review growth against same-age games	−21% to +3%	15 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,418 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 14
Expected: 5.5

Launches: 71
Hit rate: 19.7%14.0% to 30.5%
Expected rate: 7.8%
Against expected: 1.99x1.44x to 2.72x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

71 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $283
Median: $5,987
Top tenth: $313,313

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 73
Prior 12 months: 38

Change: +92%
Against Steam: +34%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

SandboxGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
CozyNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Sandbox

pairs with Sandbox

Sandbox + Multiplayer$32,53338 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + Resource Management$18,39749 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + Economy$15,26966 launches priced, 136 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + Management$11,910116 launches priced, 204 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + City Builder$11,53977 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + Colony Sim$10,01834 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Sandbox

More with Cozy

pairs with Cozy

Life Sim + Cozy$34,02737 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
Exploration + Cozy$24,01549 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Building + Cozy$14,48232 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Management + Cozy$9,50833 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Cozy

Verdicts

in development

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