Niche

Adventure + Cozy

Games tagged both Adventure and Cozy: 64 indie paid launches, 22 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Adventure + Cozy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Adventure and is too small to compare with Cozy.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Adventure + Cozy is too small to compare with Adventure and is too small to compare with Cozy: 13 of its 26 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.7 in 100 for Adventure and 50.0 in 100 for Cozy.

Small sample: 26 launches, 13 hits.

TIETied

Tag onemood tagAdventure

15.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.7 in 100

Typical earnings$8,393

Launches1,315 / 207 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairAdventure + Cozy

13 of 26launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds13 of 26 launches

$1k+25 of 26 launches

$10k+21 of 26 launches

Launches26 / 13 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoCozy

50.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds50.0 in 100

Typical earnings$103,444

Launches114 / 57 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2.5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Adventure is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices64 in pair Under $519 in pair $5 to $1010 in pair $10 to $2026 in pair$20 to $409: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 26 games tagged both Adventure and Cozy priced $10 to $20. 13 of 26 of them earned $100k+, against 15.1 in 100 for Adventure-only games and 50.0 in 100 for Cozy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Adventure alone and is too small to compare with Cozy alone.

Both: 26 games priced $10 to $20; 13 of 26 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 25 of 26 launches · $10k+ 21 of 26 launches · $100k+ 13 of 26 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 26 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Hello Kitty Island Adventureleads this pair33.8%

PairHello Kitty Island Adventure33.8%

AdventurePalworld27.4%

CozyHello Kitty Island Adventure9.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Adventure + Cozy

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Hello Kitty Island Adventure earned 33.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 64 Adventure + Cozy launches.
Adventure is led by Palworld, with 27.4% of its money.
It also leads Cozy, with 9.9% of that tag's money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Adventure + Cozy is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Adventure + Cozy through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view62 of 64 launches	Without the breakout63 of 64 launches	Last 18 months19 of 64 launches
Launches counted	6422 hits	6220 hits	6321 hits	198 hits
Earned $100k+	34.4 in 100	32.3 in 100	33.3 in 100	8 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	58 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 83 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	-6.2%2.1 fewer in 100	-3.0%1.0 fewer in 100	+22.5%7.7 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 64 launches.

Launches counted: 6422 hits
Earned $100k+: 34.4 in 100
Chance of $10k+: 58 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 83 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 64 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 6220 hits
Earned $100k+: 32.3 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -6.2%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (33.8% of the money): 63 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 6321 hits
Earned $100k+: 33.3 in 100
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -3.0%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 64.

Launches counted: 198 hits
Earned $100k+: 8 of 19too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +22.5%7.7 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Adventure and Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 64 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 64 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (33.8% of the money): 63 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 64.

Adventure holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Adventure through every lens, all prices
Adventure	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view7,233 of 7,710 launches	Without the breakout7,709 of 7,710 launches	Last 18 months2,176 of 7,710 launches
Launches counted	7,710449 hits	7,233421 hits	7,709448 hits	2,176124 hits
Earned $100k+	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17	5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$618top tenth $35,206+	$643	$618	$707
Chance against standard	the base	-0.1%no change	-0.2%no change	-2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+4.0%$25 more	0.0%no change	+14.4%$89 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.

Launches counted: 7,710449 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $618top tenth $35,206+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 7,233421 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $643
Chance against standard: -0.1%no change
Typical against standard: +4.0%$25 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 7,709448 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $618
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.

Launches counted: 2,176124 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $707
Chance against standard: -2.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +14.4%$89 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Adventure, 12 to 36 months old: 7,710 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 477 of 7,710 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Palworld (27.4% of the money): 7,709 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,176 of 7,710.

Cozy is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Cozy through every lens, all prices
Cozy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view516 of 523 launches	Without the breakout522 of 523 launches	Last 18 months209 of 523 launches
Launches counted	52390 hits	51686 hits	52289 hits	20941 hits
Earned $100k+	17.2 in 100	16.7 in 100	17.0 in 100	19.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings	$2,500top tenth $255,969+	$2,415	$2,500	$2,957
Chance against standard	the base	-3.1%0.5 fewer in 100	-0.9%0.2 fewer in 100	+14.0%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-3.4%$85 less	0.0%no change	+18.3%$457 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 523 launches.

Launches counted: 52390 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,500top tenth $255,969+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 51686 hits
Earned $100k+: 16.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,415
Chance against standard: -3.1%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.4%$85 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (9.9% of the money): 522 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 52289 hits
Earned $100k+: 17.0 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,500
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 209 of 523.

Launches counted: 20941 hits
Earned $100k+: 19.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings: $2,957
Chance against standard: +14.0%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +18.3%$457 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 523 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (9.9% of the money): 522 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 209 of 523.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Adventure + Cozy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.