Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Adventure + Cozy: a typical launch earns $32,108 in its first year
That is the median of 38 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 22 of 77 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 9.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 121% on the year before: 93 against 42.
- Price
- $32,108 median of 38 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +137.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 93 42 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 285 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 485 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.62%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.24% to 0.99% | 54 ranked of 286 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #379 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.96xhits against expected | 1.50x to 2.51x | 77 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #179 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −36%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −49% to −14% | 40 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,244 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −2%review growth against same-age games | −8% to +5% | 40 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #894 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 77
- Hit rate
- 28.6%18.9% to 38.1%
- Expected rate
- 12.7%
- Against expected
- 1.96x1.50x to 2.51x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
77 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $541
- Median
- $9,708
- Top tenth
- $416,232
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +121%
- Against Steam
- +54%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Hello Kitty Island Adventure (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,691 reviews, 93% positiveest. $7.7M
- Luma Island (opens the Steam store)2024 · 11,233 reviews, 84% positiveest. $4M
- Loddlenaut (opens the Steam store)2023 · 3,871 reviews, 98% positiveest. $1.6M
- Wanderstop (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,949 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.5M
- Strange Antiquities (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,308 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.2M
- Doloc Town (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,279 reviews, 94% positiveest. $972k
- Crashlands 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,207 reviews, 88% positiveest. $819k
- Phonopolis (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,570 reviews, 92% positiveest. $794k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Romance$4,31378 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
More with Cozy
pairs with Cozy- Life Sim + Cozy$34,02737 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Cozy$24,01549 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Building + Cozy$14,48232 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Management + Cozy$9,50833 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Cozy$8,90137 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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