Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Building + Cozy
Games tagged both Building and Cozy: 46 indie paid launches, 16 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Building + Cozy priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Building and is too small to compare with Cozy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Building + Cozy is too small to compare with Building and is too small to compare with Cozy: 10 of its 13 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 35.5 in 100 for Building and 50.0 in 100 for Cozy.
Small sample: 13 launches, 10 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 13 games tagged both Building and Cozy priced $10 to $20. 10 of 13 of them earned $100k+, against 33.0 in 100 for Building-only games and 46.5 in 100 for Cozy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Building alone and is too small to compare with Cozy alone.
Both: 13 games priced $10 to $20; 10 of 13 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 13 of 13 launches · $10k+ 12 of 13 launches · $100k+ 10 of 13 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 13 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Building + Cozy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view46 of 46 launches | Without the breakout45 of 46 launches | Last 18 months18 of 46 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4616 hits | 4616 hits | 4515 hits | 187 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 34.8 in 100 | 34.8 in 100 | 33.3 in 100 | 7 of 18too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 50 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 83 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -4.2%1.4 fewer in 100 | +11.8%4.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Building and Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 46 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 46 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tiny Glade (33.7% of the money): 45 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 18 of 46.
Building is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Building | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view806 of 833 launches | Without the breakout832 of 833 launches | Last 18 months222 of 833 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 833165 hits | 806161 hits | 832164 hits | 22246 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 19.8 in 100 | 20.0 in 100 | 19.7 in 100 | 20.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,573top tenth $412,328+ | $2,725 | $2,573 | $3,726 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.8%0.2 more in 100 | -0.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | +4.6%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.9%$152 more | 0.0%no change | +44.8%$1,153 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Building, 12 to 36 months old: 833 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 27 of 833 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Enshrouded (17.6% of the money): 832 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 222 of 833.
Cozy is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Cozy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view516 of 523 launches | Without the breakout522 of 523 launches | Last 18 months209 of 523 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 52390 hits | 51686 hits | 52289 hits | 20941 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.2 in 100 | 16.7 in 100 | 17.0 in 100 | 19.6 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,500top tenth $255,969+ | $2,415 | $2,500 | $2,957 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.1%0.5 fewer in 100 | -0.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | +14.0%2.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -3.4%$85 less | 0.0%no change | +18.3%$457 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cozy, 12 to 36 months old: 523 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hello Kitty Island Adventure (9.9% of the money): 522 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 209 of 523.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Building + Cozy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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