Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Horror + Sci-fi: a typical launch earns $890 in its first year
That is the median of 66 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 129 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 19% on the year before: 93 against 78.
- Price
- $890 median of 66 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −54.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 93 78 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 317 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 728 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.73%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.41% to 1.02% | 55 ranked of 317 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #331 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.31xhits against expected | 0.92x to 1.91x | 129 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,301 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +12%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −14% to +44% | 28 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,009 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −2%review growth against same-age games | −11% to +5% | 28 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #907 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 129
- Hit rate
- 8.5%4.6% to 15.1%
- Expected rate
- 5.9%
- Against expected
- 1.31x0.92x to 1.91x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
129 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $1,155
- Top tenth
- $72,575
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +19%
- Against Steam
- −13%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Lethal Company (opens the Steam store)2023 · 411,708 reviews, 97% positiveest. $82M
- ROUTINE (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,430 reviews, 91% positiveest. $3.8M
- The Drifter (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,763 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.9M
- Project Silverfish (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,154 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.9M
- KARMA: The Dark World (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,979 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1.6M
- System Shock 2: 25th Anniversary Remaster (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,815 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.1M
- The Thing: Remastered (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,209 reviews, 89% positiveest. $734k
- KILL IT WITH FIRE! 2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,445 reviews, 93% positiveest. $439k
More with Horror
pairs with Horror- Horror + Co-op$7,08089 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Online Co-Op$5,819120 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Multiplayer$5,680106 launches priced, 172 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Lovecraftian$3,41850 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Roguelike$3,33937 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Text-Based$2,83130 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
More with Sci-fi
pairs with Sci-fi- Sci-fi + Anime$4,24936 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cyberpunk$3,08346 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cute$1,80330 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Sci-fi$1,61786 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Sci-fi$1,61665 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Sci-fi$1,457125 launches priced, 163 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.