Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Horror + Difficult: a typical launch earns $1,806 in its first year
That is the median of 30 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 71 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 39% on the year before: 46 against 33.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $1,806 median of 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +11.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 46 33 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 64 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 345 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.06% | 9 ranked of 64 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,670 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.07xhits against expected | 0.74x to 1.76x | 71 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,394 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +9%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −26% to +43% | 16 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,148 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +8%review growth against same-age games | −3% to +16% | 16 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #424 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 71
- Hit rate
- 5.6%1.6% to 12.1%
- Expected rate
- 5.0%
- Against expected
- 1.07x0.74x to 1.76x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
71 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $101
- Median
- $1,535
- Top tenth
- $49,348
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +39%
- Against Steam
- −1%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Forever Winter (opens the Steam store)2024 · 21,418 reviews, 68% positiveest. $13M
- Lorn's Lure (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,700 reviews, 85% positiveest. $820k
- Egging On (opens the Steam store)2025 · 758 reviews, 74% positiveest. $230k
- The Fabulous Fear Machine (opens the Steam store)2023 · 544 reviews, 89% positiveest. $198k
- Morbid: The Lords of Ire (opens the Steam store)2024 · 242 reviews, 68% positiveest. $122k
- Pitty Meaty (opens the Steam store)2024 · 118 reviews, 81% positiveest. $72k
- Death In Abyss (opens the Steam store)2025 · 147 reviews, 82% positiveest. $60k
- Huntsman (opens the Steam store)2025 · 199 reviews, 58% positiveest. $52k
More with Horror
pairs with Horror- Horror + Co-op$7,08089 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Online Co-Op$5,819120 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Multiplayer$5,680106 launches priced, 172 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Lovecraftian$3,41850 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Roguelike$3,33937 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Text-Based$2,83130 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
More with Difficult
pairs with Difficult- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Difficult$3,03570 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Action Roguelike$2,42672 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Souls-like$2,12341 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.