Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
RPG + Difficult: a typical launch earns $8,092 in its first year
That is the median of 40 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 69 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 9.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 11% on the year before: 39 against 44.
- Price
- $8,092 median of 40 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +19.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 39 44 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 142 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 516 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.82%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.06% to 2.30% | 22 ranked of 142 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,375 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.15xhits against expected | 0.81x to 1.63x | 69 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,972 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +43%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +5% to +97% | 30 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #251 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −5%review growth against same-age games | −13% to +5% | 30 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,291 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 69
- Hit rate
- 15.9%8.4% to 24.8%
- Expected rate
- 13.3%
- Against expected
- 1.15x0.81x to 1.63x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
69 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $194
- Median
- $6,556
- Top tenth
- $264,361
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −11%
- Against Steam
- −34%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- UFO 50 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,144 reviews, 94% positiveest. $3.6M
- Mandragora: Whispers of the Witch Tree (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,043 reviews, 75% positiveest. $2.3M
- Enotria: The Last Song (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,197 reviews, 69% positiveest. $1.7M
- Aethermancer (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,625 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.3M
- Tails of Iron 2: Whiskers of Winter (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,874 reviews, 79% positiveest. $948k
- Garden of Witches (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,058 reviews, 92% positiveest. $729k
- Spark in the Dark (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,200 reviews, 87% positiveest. $413k
- Those Who Rule (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,126 reviews, 89% positiveest. $410k
More with RPG
pairs with RPG- RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Management$6,19747 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
More with Difficult
pairs with Difficult- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Difficult$3,03570 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Action Roguelike$2,42672 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Souls-like$2,12341 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Difficult$2,11955 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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