Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Roguelite / Difficult
Roguelite + Difficult: a typical launch earns $3,035 in its first year
That is the median of 70 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 136 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 13.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 26% on the year before: 97 against 77.
- Price
- $3,035 median of 70 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +43.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 97 77 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 260 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 757 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.19%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.10% to 0.27% | 30 ranked of 260 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,105 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.00xhits against expected | 0.72x to 1.41x | 136 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,778 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −14%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −38% to +24% | 34 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,843 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −21%review growth against same-age games | −35% to −7% | 34 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,554 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 136
- Hit rate
- 10.3%7.2% to 18.2%
- Expected rate
- 10.3%
- Against expected
- 1.00x0.72x to 1.41x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
136 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $182
- Median
- $2,801
- Top tenth
- $104,325
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +26%
- Against Steam
- −8%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- 9 Kings (opens the Steam store)2025 · 21,459 reviews, 92% positiveest. $8.4M
- SULFUR (opens the Steam store)2024 · 9,744 reviews, 87% positiveest. $4.6M
- StarVaders (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,774 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.7M
- VOID/BREAKER (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,516 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.5M
- Void War (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,683 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.5M
- Garden of Witches (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,058 reviews, 92% positiveest. $729k
- SpellRogue (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,573 reviews, 86% positiveest. $637k
- Carmageddon: Rogue Shift (opens the Steam store)2026 · 756 reviews, 62% positiveest. $612k
More with Roguelite
pairs with Roguelite- Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
More with Difficult
pairs with Difficult- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Action Roguelike$2,42672 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Souls-like$2,12341 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Difficult$2,11955 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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