Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Dark + 1990's: a typical launch earns $303 in its first year
That is the median of 30 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 62 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 41% on the year before: 48 against 34.
- Price
- $303 median of 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −95.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 48 34 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 77 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 202 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.01%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.01% to 0.02% | 6 ranked of 77 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,648 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.35xhits against expected | 0.93x to 2.21x | 62 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,144 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 62
- Hit rate
- 6.5%1.8% to 11.7%
- Expected rate
- 3.5%
- Against expected
- 1.35x0.93x to 2.21x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
62 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $81
- Median
- $627
- Top tenth
- $20,858
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +41%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Echoes of the Living (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,014 reviews, 83% positiveest. $513k
- Angel at Dusk (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,679 reviews, 98% positiveest. $510k
- SILENT BREATH (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,128 reviews, 67% positiveest. $228k
- Iron Blight (opens the Steam store)2026 · 820 reviews, 93% positiveest. $207k
- SNK VS. CAPCOM SVC CHAOS (opens the Steam store)2024 · 383 reviews, 86% positiveest. $155k
- Bad Parenting 1: Mr. Red Face (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,949 reviews, 85% positiveest. $119k
- Asleep: Act 1 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 313 reviews, 92% positiveest. $63k
- Homeless (opens the Steam store)2024 · 435 reviews, 80% positiveest. $62k
More with Dark
pairs with Dark- RPG + Dark$3,32642 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
- Dark + Female Protagonist$3,04831 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Dark + Supernatural$2,48942 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Dark$2,427120 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
- Dark + Choices Matter$2,30338 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Dark$1,85867 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
More with 1990's
pairs with 1990's- Simulation + 1990's$2,00550 launches priced, 99 releases in 12 months
- Old School + 1990's$1,80034 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
- Retro + 1990's$1,41683 launches priced, 147 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + 1990's$1,11239 launches priced, 63 releases in 12 months
- Pixel Graphics + 1990's$657100 launches priced, 158 releases in 12 months
- Horror + 1990's$58676 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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