Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Adventure + Dating Sim: a typical launch earns $4,003 in its first year

That is the median of 90 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 175 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 24.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 18% on the year before: 116 against 98.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
One game dominates the figure

Price: $4,003
Price vs a year earlier: −24.7%
Releases, 12 months: 116
Upcoming games: 263
Games on the store: 779

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Adventure + Dating Sim on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.23%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.12% to 0.37%	34 ranked of 264 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#938 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.61xhits against expected	0.44x to 0.87x	175 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#6,293 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	+9%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−15% to +33%	58 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,147 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−6%review growth against same-age games	−15% to +5%	58 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,326 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 14
Expected: 24.7

Launches: 175
Hit rate: 8.0%4.1% to 18.9%
Expected rate: 14.1%
Against expected: 0.61x0.44x to 0.87x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

175 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $3,057
Top tenth: $75,196

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 116
Prior 12 months: 98

Change: +18%
Against Steam: −13%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

AdventureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Dating SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Adventure

pairs with Adventure

Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Adventure

More with Dating Sim

pairs with Dating Sim

Dating Sim + FMV$40,45030 launches priced, 28 releases in 12 months
Dating Sim + LGBTQ+$7,36631 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
Dating Sim + Otome$6,91133 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Multiple Endings + Dating Sim$6,57961 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
Immersive Sim + Dating Sim$5,95146 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Dating Sim

Verdicts

in development

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