Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Dating Sim + FMV
Dating Sim + FMV
Games tagged both Dating Sim and FMV: 60 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Dating Sim + FMV priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Dating Sim and is too small to compare with FMV.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Dating Sim + FMV is too small to compare with Dating Sim and is too small to compare with FMV: 10 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.3 in 100 for Dating Sim and 48.8 in 100 for FMV.
Small sample: 20 launches, 10 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Dating Sim and FMV priced $10 to $20. 10 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 15.5 in 100 for Dating Sim-only games and 10 of 21 for FMV-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Dating Sim alone and is too small to compare with FMV alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 10 of 20 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 19 of 20 launches · $10k+ 19 of 20 launches · $100k+ 10 of 20 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Dating Sim + FMV holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view37 of 60 launches | Without the breakout59 of 60 launches | Last 18 months17 of 60 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6017 hits | 3710 hits | 5916 hits | 175 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 28.3 in 100 | 27.0 in 100 | 27.1 in 100 | 5 of 17too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 68 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 80 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -4.6%1.3 fewer in 100 | -4.3%1.2 fewer in 100 | +3.8%1.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Dating Sim and FMV, 12 to 36 months old: 60 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 23 of 60 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Love is All Around 2 (9.3% of the money): 59 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 17 of 60.
Dating Sim is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Dating Sim | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view496 of 630 launches | Without the breakout629 of 630 launches | Last 18 months153 of 630 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 63062 hits | 49642 hits | 62961 hits | 15314 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.8 in 1001 in 10 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 9.7 in 1001 in 10 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,513top tenth $99,496+ | $2,359 | $2,504 | $2,359 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -14.0%1.4 fewer in 100 | -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -7.0%0.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -6.1%$154 less | -0.4%$9 less | -6.1%$154 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Dating Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 630 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 134 of 630 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (24.4% of the money): 629 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 153 of 630.
FMV is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| FMV | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view111 of 155 launches | Without the breakout154 of 155 launches | Last 18 months57 of 155 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 15533 hits | 11119 hits | 15432 hits | 5716 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 21.3 in 100 | 17.1 in 100 | 20.8 in 100 | 28.1 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $11,048top tenth $256,041+ | $5,421 | $11,048 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -19.6%4.2 fewer in 100 | -2.4%0.5 fewer in 100 | +31.8%6.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -50.9%$5,627 less | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged FMV, 12 to 36 months old: 155 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 44 of 155 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Road to Empress I (11.8% of the money): 154 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 57 of 155.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Dating Sim + FMV moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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