Best niches
All pricesPairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches 1 Oct
Of 1,207 niches with 100+ launches at any price, Last 18 months, 408 beat the 1 in 16 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 192 under $5, 42 in 100 at $20 to $40.408 of 1,207 niches beat the 1 in 16 base rate.408 beat the base rate.
Cohort median $606
Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.
Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.
Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewThe Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.
1,207 of 5,145 niches have 100+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.
| Rank# | Niche | Chance of $100k+ | Typical year | Top 1 in 10 | Launches | Markers | Pin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat | 1 in 161,804 of 29,637 | $606 | not computed | 29,637 | |||
| 1 | Crafting + Exploration26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 102 launches | 26 in 10027 hits | $7,119 | not computed | 102 | none | Pin Crafting + Exploration |
| 2 | Open World + Sandbox24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 109 launches | 24 in 10026 hits | $6,871 | not computed | 109 | none | Pin Open World + Sandbox |
| 3 | Base Building + Building22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 116 launches | 22 in 10025 hits | $6,550 | not computed | 116 | 1-hit | Pin Base Building + Building |
| 4 | Multiplayer + Simulation21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 135 launches | 21 in 10029 hits | $6,069 | not computed | 135 | none | Pin Multiplayer + Simulation |
| 5 | Building + Sandbox21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 168 launches | 21 in 10036 hits | $6,069 | not computed | 168 | none | Pin Building + Sandbox |
| 6 | Detective + Investigation20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 104 launches | 20 in 10021 hits | $3,151 | not computed | 104 | none | Pin Detective + Investigation |
| 7 | Management + Sandbox20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 144 launches | 20 in 10029 hits | $5,803 | not computed | 144 | none | Pin Management + Sandbox |
| 8 | Management + Resource Management20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 171 launches | 20 in 10034 hits | $4,673 | not computed | 171 | 1-hit | Pin Management + Resource Management |
| 9 | Crafting + Sandbox20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 106 launches | 20 in 10021 hits | $10,525 | not computed | 106 | none | Pin Crafting + Sandbox |
| 10 | Investigation + Mystery19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 108 launches | 19 in 10021 hits | $2,315 | not computed | 108 | none | Pin Investigation + Mystery |
| 11 | Building + Management19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 139 launches | 19 in 10027 hits | $6,839 | not computed | 139 | none | Pin Building + Management |
| 12 | Adventure + Co-op19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 104 launches | 19 in 10020 hits | $4,547 | not computed | 104 | 1-hit | Pin Adventure + Co-op |
| 13 | Building + Relaxing19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 108 launches | 19 in 10020 hits | $2,990 | not computed | 108 | none | Pin Building + Relaxing |
| 14 | Building + City Builder18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 114 launches | 18 in 10021 hits | $4,673 | not computed | 114 | 1-hit | Pin Building + City Builder |
| 15 | Base Building + Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 160 launches | 18 in 10029 hits | $3,031 | not computed | 160 | none | Pin Base Building + Strategy |
| 16 | Sandbox + Strategy18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 160 launches | 18 in 10029 hits | $2,426 | not computed | 160 | 1-hit | Pin Sandbox + Strategy |
| 17 | First-Person + Multiplayer18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 138 launches | 18 in 10025 hits | $3,185 | not computed | 138 | none | Pin First-Person + Multiplayer |
| 18 | Action + Co-op18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 150 launches | 18 in 10027 hits | $3,339 | not computed | 150 | none | Pin Action + Co-op |
| 19 | Economy + Immersive Sim17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 103 launches | 17 in 10018 hits | $8,092 | not computed | 103 | none | Pin Economy + Immersive Sim |
| 20 | Detective + Mystery17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 115 launches | 17 in 10020 hits | $2,914 | not computed | 115 | Audience | Pin Detective + Mystery |
| 21 | Immersive Sim + Management17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 156 launches | 17 in 10027 hits | $6,878 | not computed | 156 | none | Pin Immersive Sim + Management |
| 22 | Co-op + Multiplayer17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 245 launches | 17 in 10042 hits | $4,250 | not computed | 245 | none | Pin Co-op + Multiplayer |
| 23 | First-Person + Sandbox17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 129 launches | 17 in 10022 hits | $3,088 | not computed | 129 | none | Pin First-Person + Sandbox |
| 24 | Open World + Simulation17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 131 launches | 17 in 10022 hits | $3,151 | not computed | 131 | none | Pin Open World + Simulation |
| 25 | Co-op + Online Co-Op17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 210 launches | 17 in 10035 hits | $4,723 | not computed | 210 | none | Pin Co-op + Online Co-Op |
| 26 | City Builder + Simulation17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 144 launches | 17 in 10024 hits | $4,673 | not computed | 144 | 1-hit | Pin City Builder + Simulation |
| 27 | Building + Simulation17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 235 launches | 17 in 10039 hits | $4,553 | not computed | 235 | none | Pin Building + Simulation |
| 28 | Investigation + Puzzle16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 117 launches | 16 in 10019 hits | $1,131 | not computed | 117 | none | Pin Investigation + Puzzle |
| 29 | Capitalism + Management16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 105 launches | 16 in 10017 hits | $6,372 | not computed | 105 | 1-hit | Pin Capitalism + Management |
| 30 | First-Person + Online Co-Op16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 108 launches | 16 in 10017 hits | $3,641 | not computed | 108 | none | Pin First-Person + Online Co-Op |
| 31 | Character Customization + RPG16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 115 launches | 16 in 10018 hits | $2,324 | not computed | 115 | 1-hit | Pin Character Customization + RPG |
| 32 | Action-Adventure + Metroidvania16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 109 launches | 16 in 10017 hits | $2,894 | not computed | 109 | Audience | Pin Action-Adventure + Metroidvania |
| 33 | Exploration + Metroidvania15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 117 launches | 15 in 10018 hits | $4,648 | not computed | 117 | 1-hit | Pin Exploration + Metroidvania |
| 34 | Exploration + Sandbox15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 215 launches | 15 in 10033 hits | $1,692 | not computed | 215 | none | Pin Exploration + Sandbox |
| 35 | Multiplayer + Online Co-Op15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 270 launches | 15 in 10041 hits | $3,883 | not computed | 270 | none | Pin Multiplayer + Online Co-Op |
| 36 | First-Person + Management15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 106 launches | 15 in 10016 hits | $5,097 | not computed | 106 | 1-hit | Pin First-Person + Management |
| 37 | Economy + Management15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 272 launches | 15 in 10041 hits | $5,664 | not computed | 272 | none | Pin Economy + Management |
| 38 | Management + Relaxing15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 136 launches | 15 in 10020 hits | $3,363 | not computed | 136 | none | Pin Management + Relaxing |
| 39 | Immersive Sim + Sandbox15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 117 launches | 15 in 10017 hits | $4,451 | not computed | 117 | none | Pin Immersive Sim + Sandbox |
| 40 | Simulation + Story Rich14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 153 launches | 14 in 10022 hits | $4,143 | not computed | 153 | none | Pin Simulation + Story Rich |
| 41 | Building + Strategy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 195 launches | 14 in 10028 hits | $1,415 | not computed | 195 | none | Pin Building + Strategy |
| 42 | City Builder + Strategy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 176 launches | 14 in 10025 hits | $1,617 | not computed | 176 | 1-hitAudience | Pin City Builder + Strategy |
| 43 | Action-Adventure + Story Rich14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 134 launches | 14 in 10019 hits | $2,265 | not computed | 134 | none | Pin Action-Adventure + Story Rich |
| 44 | Detective + Story Rich14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 114 launches | 14 in 10016 hits | $2,367 | not computed | 114 | none | Pin Detective + Story Rich |
| 45 | Life Sim + Sandbox14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 107 launches | 14 in 10015 hits | $3,822 | not computed | 107 | none | Pin Life Sim + Sandbox |
| 46 | Open World + RPG14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 122 launches | 14 in 10017 hits | $1,214 | not computed | 122 | 1-hit | Pin Open World + RPG |
| 47 | Resource Management + Simulation14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 216 launches | 14 in 10030 hits | $2,725 | not computed | 216 | 1-hit | Pin Resource Management + Simulation |
| 48 | Simulation + Survival14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 108 launches | 14 in 10015 hits | $2,429 | not computed | 108 | Audience | Pin Simulation + Survival |
| 49 | Immersive Sim + Realistic14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 166 launches | 14 in 10023 hits | $1,617 | not computed | 166 | none | Pin Immersive Sim + Realistic |
| 50 | Adventure + Multiplayer14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 123 launches | 14 in 10017 hits | $1,778 | not computed | 123 | 1-hit | Pin Adventure + Multiplayer |
| 51 | Life Sim + Relaxing14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 123 launches | 14 in 10017 hits | $2,630 | not computed | 123 | none | Pin Life Sim + Relaxing |
| 52 | Immersive Sim + Life Sim14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 189 launches | 14 in 10026 hits | $3,683 | not computed | 189 | none | Pin Immersive Sim + Life Sim |
| 53 | Capitalism + Economy14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 111 launches | 14 in 10015 hits | $3,683 | not computed | 111 | 1-hit | Pin Capitalism + Economy |
| 54 | Exploration + Survival13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 156 launches | 13 in 10021 hits | $1,535 | not computed | 156 | none | Pin Exploration + Survival |
| 55 | First-Person + Immersive Sim13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 298 launches | 13 in 10040 hits | $2,023 | not computed | 298 | none | Pin First-Person + Immersive Sim |
| 56 | Sandbox + Simulation13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 441 launches | 13 in 10059 hits | $2,428 | not computed | 441 | none | Pin Sandbox + Simulation |
| 57 | Metroidvania + Platformer13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 107 launches | 13 in 10014 hits | $2,894 | not computed | 107 | 1-hit | Pin Metroidvania + Platformer |
| 58 | Hack and Slash + Roguelike13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 115 launches | 13 in 10015 hits | $2,103 | not computed | 115 | 1-hit | Pin Hack and Slash + Roguelike |
| 59 | Dating Sim + RPG13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 139 launches | 13 in 10018 hits | $2,406 | not computed | 139 | Audience | Pin Dating Sim + RPG |
| 60 | Management + Simulation13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 533 launches | 13 in 10069 hits | $4,446 | not computed | 533 | none | Pin Management + Simulation |
| 61 | Exploration + Roguelite13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 101 launches | 13 in 10013 hits | $1,112 | not computed | 101 | none | Pin Exploration + Roguelite |
| 62 | Mystery + Story Rich13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 274 launches | 13 in 10035 hits | $1,619 | not computed | 274 | none | Pin Mystery + Story Rich |
| 63 | Shop Keeper + Simulation13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 111 launches | 13 in 10014 hits | $2,424 | not computed | 111 | 1-hit | Pin Shop Keeper + Simulation |
| 64 | First-Person + Life Sim13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 144 launches | 13 in 10018 hits | $2,428 | not computed | 144 | none | Pin First-Person + Life Sim |
| 65 | Relaxing + Sandbox12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 137 launches | 12 in 10017 hits | $2,666 | not computed | 137 | none | Pin Relaxing + Sandbox |
| 66 | Cozy + Simulation12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 121 launches | 12 in 10015 hits | $4,856 | not computed | 121 | none | Pin Cozy + Simulation |
| 67 | Exploration + Open World12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 226 launches | 12 in 10028 hits | $2,428 | not computed | 226 | none | Pin Exploration + Open World |
| 68 | Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 113 launches | 12 in 10014 hits | $7,286 | not computed | 113 | 1-hit | Pin Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder |
| 69 | Racing + Sports12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 113 launches | 12 in 10014 hits | $668 | not computed | 113 | none | Pin Racing + Sports |
| 70 | Realistic + Simulation12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 349 launches | 12 in 10043 hits | $2,183 | not computed | 349 | none | Pin Realistic + Simulation |
| 71 | Action + Dark Fantasy12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 138 launches | 12 in 10017 hits | $606 | not computed | 138 | 1-hit | Pin Action + Dark Fantasy |
| 72 | Exploration + Female Protagonist12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 187 launches | 12 in 10023 hits | $2,024 | not computed | 187 | 1-hit | Pin Exploration + Female Protagonist |
| 73 | 3D + Multiplayer12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 204 launches | 12 in 10025 hits | $1,063 | not computed | 204 | none | Pin 3D + Multiplayer |
| 74 | Interactive Fiction + Story Rich12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 245 launches | 12 in 10030 hits | $1,946 | not computed | 245 | none | Pin Interactive Fiction + Story Rich |
| 75 | Capitalism + Simulation12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 131 launches | 12 in 10016 hits | $2,185 | not computed | 131 | 1-hit | Pin Capitalism + Simulation |
Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.