Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Incremental + Resource Managementabout 8.3 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Incremental + Resource Management14 in 100114 launches 2Idler + Resource Management13 in 100119 launches 3Incremental + Management11 in 100157 launches 4Incremental + Pixel Graphics1 in13214 launches 5Idler + Pixel Graphics1 in12262 launches

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 100+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Loads the 30+ launches view.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Loads the 30+ launches view.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Loads the 30+ launches view.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Loads the 30+ launches view.

Hide one-hit markets226 out Hide small samples0 out

1,207 of 5,145 niches have 100+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Casual + Linearnone of 222 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$162	not computed	222	none	Pin Casual + Linear
2	2D + Precision Platformernone of 202 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$162	not computed	202	none	Pin 2D + Precision Platformer
3	2D + Top-Down Shooternone of 195 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$162	not computed	195	none	Pin 2D + Top-Down Shooter
4	Casual + Runnernone of 147 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$81	not computed	147	none	Pin Casual + Runner
5	2D Platformer + Strategynone of 141 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$81	not computed	141	none	Pin 2D Platformer + Strategy
6	2D Fighter + 2D Platformernone of 133 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$0	not computed	133	none	Pin 2D Fighter + 2D Platformer
7	3D Platformer + Simulationnone of 129 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$242	not computed	129	none	Pin 3D Platformer + Simulation
8	Choose Your Own Adventure + Text-Basednone of 119 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$707	not computed	119	1-hit	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Text-Based
9	Adventure + Text-Basednone of 117 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$606	not computed	117	Audience	Pin Adventure + Text-Based
10	Casual + Survivalnone of 112 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$198	not computed	112	none	Pin Casual + Survival
11	2D + Procedural Generationnone of 107 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$404	not computed	107	none	Pin 2D + Procedural Generation
12	2D + Tabletopnone of 104 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$167	not computed	104	none	Pin 2D + Tabletop
13	Casual + Shoot 'Em Upnone of 103 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$120	not computed	103	none	Pin Casual + Shoot 'Em Up
14	Adventure + Bullet Hellnone of 101 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$341	not computed	101	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Bullet Hell
15	Arcade + Linearnone of 101 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$121	not computed	101	none	Pin Arcade + Linear
16	Incremental + Point & Click1 in 246 earned $100k+, from 246 launches	1 in 2461 hit	$182	not computed	246	none	Pin Incremental + Point & Click
17	2D Platformer + Puzzle1 in 224 earned $100k+, from 224 launches	1 in 2241 hit	$142	not computed	224	none	Pin 2D Platformer + Puzzle
18	Casual + Side Scroller1 in 212 earned $100k+, from 212 launches	1 in 2121 hit	$101	not computed	212	none	Pin Casual + Side Scroller
19	Adventure + Linear1 in 195 earned $100k+, from 195 launches	1 in 1951 hit	$303	not computed	195	none	Pin Adventure + Linear
20	Casual + Score Attack1 in 180 earned $100k+, from 180 launches	1 in 1801 hit	$142	not computed	180	Audience	Pin Casual + Score Attack
21	Adventure + Precision Platformer1 in 173 earned $100k+, from 173 launches	1 in 1731 hit	$303	not computed	173	none	Pin Adventure + Precision Platformer
22	Minimalist + Strategy1 in 172 earned $100k+, from 172 launches	1 in 1721 hit	$182	not computed	172	none	Pin Minimalist + Strategy
23	Casual + Text-Based1 in 162 earned $100k+, from 162 launches	1 in 1621 hit	$243	not computed	162	Audience	Pin Casual + Text-Based
24	Casual + Turn-Based Tactics1 in 162 earned $100k+, from 162 launches	1 in 1621 hit	$142	not computed	162	none	Pin Casual + Turn-Based Tactics
25	Casual + Precision Platformer1 in 161 earned $100k+, from 161 launches	1 in 1611 hit	$121	not computed	161	1-hit	Pin Casual + Precision Platformer

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 1,207 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.