Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
War + 3D: a typical launch earns $939 in its first year
That is the median of 46 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 81 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 10% on the year before: 45 against 50.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $939 median of 46 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +364.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 45 50 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 185 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 445 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.28%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.14% to 0.47% | 21 ranked of 185 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #814 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.95xhits against expected | 0.65x to 1.53x | 81 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,088 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 81
- Hit rate
- 6.2%0.0% to 9.3%
- Expected rate
- 6.7%
- Against expected
- 0.95x0.65x to 1.53x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
81 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $606
- Top tenth
- $22,688
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −10%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Tempest Rising (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,865 reviews, 87% positiveest. $7.6M
- IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 13,930 reviews, 97% positiveest. $5.3M
- Nuclear Option (opens the Steam store)2023 · 10,455 reviews, 95% positiveest. $4.2M
- Sumerian Six (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,106 reviews, 94% positiveest. $672k
- Arms Trade Tycoon: Tanks (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,005 reviews, 65% positiveest. $610k
- Trench Tales (opens the Steam store)2025 · 604 reviews, 69% positiveest. $306k
- Battleship Command (opens the Steam store)2026 · 279 reviews, 93% positiveest. $141k
- Block Fortress 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 266 reviews, 81% positiveest. $108k
More with War
pairs with War- RTS + War$4,48634 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- War + Historical$4,39930 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Tactics$4,30130 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + War$2,942102 launches priced, 126 releases in 12 months
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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