Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Visual Novel / Word Game
Visual Novel + Word Game: a typical launch earns $887 in its first year
That is the median of 59 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 133 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 58% on the year before: 112 against 71.
- China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
- Price
- $887 median of 59 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +115.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 112 71 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 256 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 653 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.07% to 0.10% | 24 ranked of 256 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,967 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.92xhits against expected | 0.63x to 1.54x | 133 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #6,125 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −23%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −39% to 0% | 44 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,054 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −13%review growth against same-age games | −22% to −2% | 44 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,394 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 133
- Hit rate
- 3.0%2.0% to 7.7%
- Expected rate
- 3.5%
- Against expected
- 0.92x0.63x to 1.54x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
133 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $20
- Median
- $889
- Top tenth
- $31,253
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +58%
- Against Steam
- +14%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Visual NovelGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Word GameGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Homicipher (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,840 reviews, 96% positiveest. $2M
- The Weeping Swan: Ten Days of the City's Fall (opens the Steam store)2026 · 8,291 reviews, 58% positiveest. $1.2M
- Sweet Home (opens the Steam store)2025 · 10,073 reviews, 94% positiveest. $919k
- 月华辉映之刻 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,238 reviews, 89% positiveest. $574k
- Aliya: Timelink (opens the Steam store)2024 · 8,610 reviews, 97% positiveest. $303k
- NICE TO MEET YOU, AGAIN (opens the Steam store)2026 · 339 reviews, 97% positiveest. $172k
- Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes (opens the Steam store)2023 · 607 reviews, 84% positiveest. $123k
- Shanghai Summer (opens the Steam store)2024 · 393 reviews, 89% positiveest. $103k
More with Visual Novel
pairs with Visual Novel- Visual Novel + FMV$65,06531 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + LGBTQ+$6,05083 launches priced, 159 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Detective$5,29368 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Investigation$4,88542 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Immersive Sim$4,55364 launches priced, 115 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Romance$3,639179 launches priced, 277 releases in 12 months
More with Word Game
pairs with Word Game- Cute + Word Game$1,78831 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- Word Game + Spelling$84833 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Interactive Fiction + Word Game$79046 launches priced, 89 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Word Game$77068 launches priced, 119 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Word Game$73147 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
- Typing + Word Game$63638 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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