Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Third Person + Realistic: a typical launch earns $592 in its first year

That is the median of 74 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 10 of 148 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 14.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 5% on the year before: 102 against 97.

Price: $592
Price vs a year earlier: −2.5%
Releases, 12 months: 102
Upcoming games: 325
Games on the store: 771

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Third Person + Realistic on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.51%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.24% to 0.97%	47 ranked of 325 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#4,507 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.74xhits against expected	0.51x to 1.10x	148 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,489 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	+28%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	0% to +69%	32 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#549 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−1%review growth against same-age games	−15% to +12%	32 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,019 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 10
Expected: 14.6

Launches: 148
Hit rate: 6.8%3.6% to 12.1%
Expected rate: 9.8%
Against expected: 0.74x0.51x to 1.10x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

148 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $516
Top tenth: $22,638

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 102
Prior 12 months: 97

Change: +5%
Against Steam: −23%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Third PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
RealisticNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Third Person

pairs with Third Person

Third Person + Female Protagonist$1,82144 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
Third Person + Psychological Horror$98132 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
Third Person + Sci-fi$80943 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Third Person + Immersive Sim$80943 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Open World + Third Person$80863 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
Hack and Slash + Third Person$76950 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Third Person

More with Realistic

pairs with Realistic

Multiplayer + Realistic$17,04044 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Realistic + Management$13,70546 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
Realistic + Economy$10,95531 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
Realistic + Life Sim$6,57659 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + Realistic$5,46362 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Realistic

Verdicts

in development

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