Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Realistic + Life Sim: a typical launch earns $6,576 in its first year
That is the median of 59 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 15 of 120 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 28% on the year before: 88 against 69.
- Price
- $6,576 median of 59 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −21.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 88 69 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 208 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 482 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.21%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.12% to 0.32% | 33 ranked of 208 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,000 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.29xhits against expected | 0.94x to 1.79x | 120 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,380 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 120
- Hit rate
- 12.5%4.1% to 22.1%
- Expected rate
- 9.1%
- Against expected
- 1.29x0.94x to 1.79x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
120 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $118
- Median
- $5,694
- Top tenth
- $117,767
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +28%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- My Winter Car (opens the Steam store)2025 · 18,800 reviews, 94% positiveest. $5.7M
- Finnish Cottage Simulator (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,424 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1M
- Seafarer: The Ship Sim (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,992 reviews, 64% positiveest. $1M
- AirportSim (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,417 reviews, 67% positiveest. $1M
- Car Dealership Simulator 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,396 reviews, 69% positiveest. $727k
- Animal Shelter 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,216 reviews, 80% positiveest. $615k
- Motel Manager Simulator (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,482 reviews, 84% positiveest. $540k
- Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,627 reviews, 82% positiveest. $395k
More with Realistic
pairs with Realistic- Multiplayer + Realistic$17,04044 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Management$13,70546 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Economy$10,95531 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Realistic$5,46362 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Realistic$2,42257 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
More with Life Sim
pairs with Life Sim- Life Sim + Cozy$34,02737 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Economy + Life Sim$15,00083 launches priced, 128 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Life Sim$13,38736 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Building + Life Sim$12,54245 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Life Sim + Management$9,996139 launches priced, 204 releases in 12 months
- Capitalism + Life Sim$9,99633 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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