Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Open World + Third Person: a typical launch earns $808 in its first year

That is the median of 63 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 128 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 13.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 3% on the year before: 84 against 87.

Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games

Price: $808
Price vs a year earlier: +33.1%
Releases, 12 months: 84
Upcoming games: 342
Games on the store: 895

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Open World + Third Person on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	1.79%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.90% to 3.00%	59 ranked of 342 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#125 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	0.75xhits against expected	0.52x to 1.12x	128 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,430 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	+43%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+8% to +92%	54 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#264 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games Listed after unflagged rows on this board	+2%review growth against same-age games	−8% to +13%	54 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,887 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 9
Expected: 13.1

Launches: 128
Hit rate: 7.0%4.9% to 14.6%
Expected rate: 10.2%
Against expected: 0.75x0.52x to 1.12x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

128 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $687
Top tenth: $46,683

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 84
Prior 12 months: 87

Change: −3%
Against Steam: −29%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

Open WorldNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Third PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Open World

pairs with Open World

Open World + Multiplayer$15,60236 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Open World + Open World Survival Craft$14,79431 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
Open World + Life Sim$13,38736 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
Open World + Crafting$7,48760 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
Driving + Open World$6,51131 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Building + Open World$5,98741 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Open World

More with Third Person

pairs with Third Person

Third Person + Female Protagonist$1,82144 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
Third Person + Psychological Horror$98132 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
Third Person + Sci-fi$80943 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Third Person + Immersive Sim$80943 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
Hack and Slash + Third Person$76950 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
Third Person + Sandbox$76940 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Third Person

Verdicts

in development

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