Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Strategy / Simulation
Strategy + Simulation: a typical launch earns $909 in its first year
That is the median of 583 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 112 of 1,160 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 94.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 80% on the year before: 1,273 against 706.
- Price
- $909 median of 583 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −52.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 1,273 706 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 3,106 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 8,826 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 4.40%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 2.85% to 6.38% | 297 ranked of 3,108 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #38 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.18xhits against expected | 1.02x to 1.36x | 1,160 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,859 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −29%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −36% to −22% | 298 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,152 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −6%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +1% | 298 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,086 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 1,160
- Hit rate
- 9.7%7.7% to 13.9%
- Expected rate
- 8.2%
- Against expected
- 1.18x1.02x to 1.36x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
1,161 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $1,090
- Top tenth
- $88,341
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +80%
- Against Steam
- +33%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Manor Lords (opens the Steam store)2024 · 77,221 reviews, 84% positiveest. $60M
- Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era (opens the Steam store)2026 · 19,441 reviews, 86% positiveest. $15M
- Hell Let Loose: Vietnam (opens the Steam store)2026 · 11,087 reviews, 61% positiveest. $8.9M
- shapez 2 - Factory (opens the Steam store)2024 · 13,937 reviews, 96% positiveest. $8.1M
- Sultan's Game (opens the Steam store)2025 · 25,110 reviews, 93% positiveest. $7.8M
- Infection Free Zone (opens the Steam store)2024 · 16,636 reviews, 80% positiveest. $7.6M
- Terra Invicta (opens the Steam store)2026 · 9,088 reviews, 79% positiveest. $7M
- Norland (opens the Steam store)2024 · 8,941 reviews, 81% positiveest. $5M
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with Simulation
pairs with Simulation- Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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