Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Strategy + Medieval: a typical launch earns $849 in its first year
That is the median of 125 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 24 of 237 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 17.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 51% on the year before: 221 against 146.
- Price
- $849 median of 125 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +40.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 221 146 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 587 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,383 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.85%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.59% to 3.16% | 63 ranked of 587 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,051 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.29xhits against expected | 0.97x to 1.71x | 237 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,388 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −14%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −29% to +6% | 42 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,853 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −5%review growth against same-age games | −17% to +4% | 42 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,298 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 237
- Hit rate
- 10.1%6.8% to 16.0%
- Expected rate
- 7.6%
- Against expected
- 1.29x0.97x to 1.71x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
237 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $728
- Top tenth
- $92,383
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +51%
- Against Steam
- +11%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Stronghold Crusader: Definitive Edition (opens the Steam store)2025 · 10,692 reviews, 92% positiveest. $4.2M
- Stronghold: Definitive Edition (opens the Steam store)2023 · 9,800 reviews, 86% positiveest. $2.9M
- Blacksmith Master (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,538 reviews, 83% positiveest. $1M
- Alchemy Factory (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,646 reviews, 87% positiveest. $930k
- Kingdom Rush 6: Genesis TD (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,912 reviews, 65% positiveest. $822k
- Yes, Your Grace 2: Snowfall (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,497 reviews, 76% positiveest. $758k
- Dungeon Settlers (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,337 reviews, 79% positiveest. $677k
- Naheulbeuk's Dungeon Master (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,303 reviews, 73% positiveest. $659k
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with Medieval
pairs with Medieval- Simulation + Medieval$4,85559 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + Management$4,85539 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + Base Building$3,94532 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + City Builder$3,71240 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Medieval + Dark Fantasy$1,63830 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Building + Medieval$1,49734 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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