Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Strategy + Cute: a typical launch earns $485 in its first year
That is the median of 281 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 20 of 518 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 25.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 18% on the year before: 389 against 331.
- Price
- $485 median of 281 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −20.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 389 331 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 791 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,381 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.49%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.12% to 0.90% | 34 ranked of 791 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,531 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.82xhits against expected | 0.60x to 1.12x | 518 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,979 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +5%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −10% to +21% | 64 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,265 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −9%review growth against same-age games | −18% to +2% | 64 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,248 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 518
- Hit rate
- 3.9%2.5% to 6.0%
- Expected rate
- 4.9%
- Against expected
- 0.82x0.60x to 1.12x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
518 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $505
- Top tenth
- $19,549
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +18%
- Against Steam
- −13%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Town to City (opens the Steam store)2025 · 6,214 reviews, 97% positiveest. $3.7M
- Ratopia (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,650 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.8M
- (the) Gnorp Apologue (opens the Steam store)2023 · 9,623 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.3M
- Yaoling: Mythical Journey (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,854 reviews, 90% positiveest. $779k
- Ballionaire (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,406 reviews, 85% positiveest. $601k
- ShapeHero Factory (opens the Steam store)2024 · 991 reviews, 88% positiveest. $481k
- Quadrober Simulator (opens the Steam store)2024 · 685 reviews, 80% positiveest. $416k
- Cluckmech Oasis (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,083 reviews, 87% positiveest. $363k
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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