Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Strategy + 2D: a typical launch earns $303 in its first year
That is the median of 908 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 57 of 1,859 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 84.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 77% on the year before: 1,924 against 1,087.
- Price
- $303 median of 908 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +24.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 1,924 1,087 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 3,570 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 9,804 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.85%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.63% to 1.16% | 114 ranked of 3,573 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #277 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.69xhits against expected | 0.56x to 0.84x | 1,859 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,797 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −33%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −40% to −24% | 194 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,206 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −13%review growth against same-age games | −21% to −6% | 194 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,414 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 1,859
- Hit rate
- 3.1%2.4% to 5.1%
- Expected rate
- 4.5%
- Against expected
- 0.69x0.56x to 0.84x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
1,859 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $283
- Top tenth
- $16,215
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +77%
- Against Steam
- +31%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- UFO 50 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,144 reviews, 94% positiveest. $3.6M
- Kingdom Rush 5: Alliance TD (opens the Steam store)2024 · 10,410 reviews, 87% positiveest. $3M
- News Tower (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,328 reviews, 93% positiveest. $2.1M
- Nubby's Number Factory (opens the Steam store)2025 · 18,212 reviews, 97% positiveest. $1.8M
- Ratopia (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,650 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.8M
- (the) Gnorp Apologue (opens the Steam store)2023 · 9,623 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.3M
- SteamWorld Heist II (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,214 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.3M
- Slots & Daggers (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,454 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.2M
More with Strategy
pairs with Strategy- Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,599104 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Base Building$6,139160 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Turn-Based$5,85566 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Historical$4,25980 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Party-Based RPG$3,88255 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Story Rich$3,64284 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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