Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Shoot 'Em Up / Top-Down
Shoot 'Em Up + Top-Down: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year
That is the median of 76 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 156 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 31% on the year before: 115 against 88.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $202 median of 76 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −51.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 115 88 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 175 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 776 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.02%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.03% | 5 ranked of 176 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,336 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.59xhits against expected | 0.43x to 1.05x | 156 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,286 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 156
- Hit rate
- 1.3%0.6% to 3.8%
- Expected rate
- 3.5%
- Against expected
- 0.59x0.43x to 1.05x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
156 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $242
- Top tenth
- $5,559
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +31%
Parent tags
- Shoot 'Em UpGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Top-DownNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- BALL x PIT (opens the Steam store)2025 · 24,912 reviews, 95% positiveest. $7.2M
- I Am Legion: Stand Survivors (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,444 reviews, 82% positiveest. $356k
- DoDonPachi Resurrection Reignite (opens the Steam store)2026 · 157 reviews, 42% positiveest. $79k
- Cyber Assasin (opens the Steam store)2024 · 89 reviews, 88% positiveest. $54k
- SNAKE GAME ULTRA CORE (opens the Steam store)2025 · 89 reviews, 88% positiveest. $54k
- Zombie Builder Defense 2 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 210 reviews, 84% positiveest. $42k
- Graveyard Gunslingers (opens the Steam store)2024 · 226 reviews, 58% positiveest. $37k
- UNDER DEFEAT (opens the Steam store)2025 · 81 reviews, 95% positiveest. $33k
Related niches
pairs with Shoot 'Em Up- Shoot 'Em Up + Female Protagonist$1,41531 launches priced, 19 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Shoot 'Em Up$1,07266 launches priced, 98 releases in 12 months
- Shoot 'Em Up + Twin Stick Shooter$1,01145 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
- Shoot 'Em Up + Action Roguelike$88794 launches priced, 143 releases in 12 months
- Shoot 'Em Up + Score Attack$67730 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Shoot 'Em Up + Bullet Hell$646192 launches priced, 289 releases in 12 months
More with Top-Down
pairs with Top-Down- Wargame + Top-Down$1,70031 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- City Builder + Top-Down$1,55732 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down + Female Protagonist$1,09231 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Twin Stick Shooter + Top-Down$1,01140 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Top-Down$707143 launches priced, 271 releases in 12 months
- RTS + Top-Down$68543 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.