Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Sci-fi + Stylized: a typical launch earns $202 in its first year
That is the median of 38 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 72 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 2% on the year before: 52 against 53.
- Price
- $202 median of 38 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −60.8% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 52 53 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 178 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 392 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.03% to 0.06% | 15 ranked of 178 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,720 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.85xhits against expected | 0.60x to 1.45x | 72 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,738 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 72
- Hit rate
- 4.2%1.4% to 13.8%
- Expected rate
- 5.6%
- Against expected
- 0.85x0.60x to 1.45x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
72 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $354
- Top tenth
- $21,825
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −2%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Worldless (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,564 reviews, 94% positiveest. $633k
- Goodnight Universe (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,362 reviews, 96% positiveest. $551k
- SENTRY (opens the Steam store)2024 · 857 reviews, 82% positiveest. $347k
- Stories from Sol: The Gun-Dog (opens the Steam store)2025 · 846 reviews, 90% positiveest. $257k
- Raw Metal (opens the Steam store)2024 · 454 reviews, 88% positiveest. $184k
- ZERO PROTOCOL (opens the Steam store)2024 · 495 reviews, 84% positiveest. $120k
- Warden's Will (opens the Steam store)2025 · 303 reviews, 70% positiveest. $92k
- NODE (opens the Steam store)2025 · 146 reviews, 91% positiveest. $74k
More with Sci-fi
pairs with Sci-fi- Sci-fi + Anime$4,24936 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cyberpunk$3,08346 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cute$1,80330 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Sci-fi$1,61786 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Sci-fi$1,61665 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Sci-fi$1,457125 launches priced, 163 releases in 12 months
More with Stylized
pairs with Stylized- Roguelite + Stylized$2,12543 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Stylized$1,48650 launches priced, 95 releases in 12 months
- Surreal + Stylized$1,26334 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Stylized$1,01141 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
- Stylized + Linear$75830 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Stylized + 2D Platformer$70731 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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