RPG + Choose Your Own Adventure: a typical launch earns $1,647 in its first year

That is the median of 108 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 234 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 16.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 24% on the year before: 173 against 140.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: $1,647
Price vs a year earlier: +13.1%
Releases, 12 months: 173
Upcoming games: 617
Games on the store: 1,565

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

RPG + Choose Your Own Adventure on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.31%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.22% to 0.45%	52 ranked of 617 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#734 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.87xhits against expected	0.62x to 1.24x	234 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#6,167 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	+4%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−15% to +29%	50 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,312 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	−6%review growth against same-age games	−16% to +3%	50 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,102 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 14
Expected: 16.5

Launches: 234
Hit rate: 6.4%2.9% to 9.6%
Expected rate: 7.1%
Against expected: 0.87x0.62x to 1.24x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

235 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $39
Median: $1,274
Top tenth: $44,368

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 173
Prior 12 months: 140

Change: +24%
Against Steam: −10%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Choose Your Own AdventureGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with RPG

pairs with RPG

RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months

Every pair with RPG

Related niches

pairs with Choose Your Own Adventure

Choose Your Own Adventure + Romance$3,13658 launches priced, 86 releases in 12 months
Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim$3,11675 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
Choose Your Own Adventure + Character Customization$2,97334 launches priced, 26 releases in 12 months
Choose Your Own Adventure + Mystery$2,91649 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Choose Your Own Adventure$2,54534 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Choose Your Own Adventure$2,180127 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Choose Your Own Adventure

Verdicts

in development

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