Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Romance + Dating Sim: a typical launch earns $3,946 in its first year

That is the median of 97 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 21 of 213 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 25.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 31% on the year before: 156 against 119.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $3,946
Price vs a year earlier: −32.2%
Releases, 12 months: 156
Upcoming games: 345
Games on the store: 1,060

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Romance + Dating Sim on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.22%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.16% to 0.27%	42 ranked of 346 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#992 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.83xhits against expected	0.62x to 1.12x	213 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#3,873 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	+2%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−15% to +27%	67 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,367 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−2%review growth against same-age games	−14% to +10%	67 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,104 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 21
Expected: 25.7

Launches: 213
Hit rate: 9.9%4.6% to 16.6%
Expected rate: 12.1%
Against expected: 0.83x0.62x to 1.12x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

213 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $186
Median: $4,453
Top tenth: $96,793

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 156
Prior 12 months: 119

Change: +31%
Against Steam: −4%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

RomanceNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Dating SimGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Romance

pairs with Romance

Romance + LGBTQ+$5,45434 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
Anime + Romance$4,97896 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
Funny + Romance$4,86732 launches priced, 30 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Romance$4,31378 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
RPG + Romance$3,84049 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Romance

More with Dating Sim

pairs with Dating Sim

Dating Sim + FMV$40,45030 launches priced, 28 releases in 12 months
Dating Sim + LGBTQ+$7,36631 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
Dating Sim + Otome$6,91133 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
Multiple Endings + Dating Sim$6,57961 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
Immersive Sim + Dating Sim$5,95146 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Dating Sim

Verdicts

in development

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