Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Realistic + Supernatural: a typical launch earns $1,921 in its first year

That is the median of 44 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 71 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 53% on the year before: 23 against 49.

Price: $1,921
Price vs a year earlier: −47.2%
Releases, 12 months: 23
Upcoming games: 59
Games on the store: 187

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Realistic + Supernatural on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.02% to 0.08%	8 ranked of 59 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#6,564 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.36xhits against expected	0.94x to 2.23x	71 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#1,121 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 4
Expected: 2.1

Launches: 71
Hit rate: 5.6%1.4% to 12.3%
Expected rate: 3.0%
Against expected: 1.36x0.94x to 2.23x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

71 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $81
Median: $2,119
Top tenth: $32,214

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 23
Prior 12 months: 49

Change: −53%

Parent tags

RealisticNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
SupernaturalNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Realistic

pairs with Realistic

Multiplayer + Realistic$17,04044 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Realistic + Management$13,70546 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
Realistic + Economy$10,95531 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
Realistic + Life Sim$6,57659 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
Sandbox + Realistic$5,46362 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Realistic

More with Supernatural

pairs with Supernatural

Thriller + Supernatural$5,86733 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
Story Rich + Supernatural$5,82533 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
Walking Simulator + Supernatural$3,23435 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Mystery + Supernatural$2,74350 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
Psychological Horror + Supernatural$2,68995 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
Survival Horror + Supernatural$2,54732 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Supernatural

Verdicts

in development

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