Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / PvP + Simulation
PvP + Simulation
Games tagged both PvP and Simulation: 87 indie paid launches, 11 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing PvP + Simulation priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
19 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
19 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both PvP and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 6 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 14.6 in 100 for PvP-only games and 20.7 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with PvP alone and is too small to compare with Simulation alone.
Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 6 of 19 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $28,487.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
PvP + Simulation is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view85 of 87 launches | Without the breakout86 of 87 launches | Last 18 months27 of 87 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 8711 hits | 8511 hits | 8610 hits | 273 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.6 in 100 | 12.9 in 100 | 11.6 in 100 | 3 of 27too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,417top tenth $157,380+ | $1,417 | $1,417 | $3,790 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.4%0.3 more in 100 | -8.0%1.0 fewer in 100 | -12.1%1.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change; too few to tell | 0.0%no change | +167.5%$2,373 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both PvP and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 87 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 87 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (62.7% of the money): 86 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 27 of 87.
PvP holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| PvP | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,019 of 1,044 launches | Without the breakout1,043 of 1,044 launches | Last 18 months291 of 1,044 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,04471 hits | 1,01969 hits | 1,04370 hits | 29122 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 6.7 in 1001 in 15 | 7.6 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $470top tenth $28,978+ | $470 | $460 | $575 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.4%no change | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | +11.2%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | -2.1%$10 less | +22.3%$105 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 1,044 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,044 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (26.6% of the money): 1,043 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 291 of 1,044.
Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,193 of 4,444 launches | Without the breakout4,443 of 4,444 launches | Last 18 months1,387 of 4,444 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,444370 hits | 4,193351 hits | 4,443369 hits | 1,387117 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $877top tenth $69,001+ | $941 | $876 | $956 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.5%no change | -0.2%no change | +1.3%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.3%$64 more | -0.1%$1 less | +9.0%$79 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when PvP + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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