Niche

Physics + Strategy

Games tagged both Physics and Strategy: 119 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 100+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 100+ launches Reset

Showing Physics + Strategy priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Physics and is about level with Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

20 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

1STWinner

Tag onemood tagPhysics

20.7in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.7 in 100

Typical earnings$10,805

Launches164 / 34 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pairPhysics + Strategy

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches20

20 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

2NDRunner-up

Tag twoStrategy

16.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds16.0 in 100

Typical earnings$7,843

Launches844 / 135 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Physics is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices119 in pair Under $573 in pair $5 to $1025 in pair $10 to $2020 in pair$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Physics and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 4 of 20 of them earned $100k+, against 20.8 in 100 for Physics-only games and 15.9 in 100 for Strategy-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Physics alone and is too small to compare with Strategy alone.

Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 20 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $16,546.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Orcs Must Die! Deathtrapleads this pair43.8%

PairOrcs Must Die! Deathtrap43.8%

PhysicsR.E.P.O.34.1%

StrategyManor Lords14.8%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Physics + Strategy

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap earned 43.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 119 Physics + Strategy launches.
Physics is led by R.E.P.O., with 34.1% of its money.
Strategy is led by Manor Lords, with 14.8% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Physics + Strategy holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Physics + Strategy through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view116 of 119 launches	Without the breakout118 of 119 launches	Last 18 months35 of 119 launches
Launches counted	1196 hits	1166 hits	1185 hits	351 hits
Earned $100k+	5.0 in 1001 in 20	5.2 in 1001 in 19	4.2 in 1001 in 24	1 of 35too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$209top tenth $26,998+	$209	$209	$763
Chance against standard	the base	+2.6%0.1 more in 100	-16.0%0.8 fewer in 100	-43.3%2.2 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+265.1%$554 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Physics and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 119 launches.

Launches counted: 1196 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings: $209top tenth $26,998+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 119 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1166 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings: $209
Chance against standard: +2.6%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap (43.8% of the money): 118 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1185 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $209
Chance against standard: -16.0%0.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 35 of 119.

Launches counted: 351 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 35too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $763
Chance against standard: -43.3%2.2 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +265.1%$554 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Physics and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 119 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 119 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap (43.8% of the money): 118 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 35 of 119.

Physics is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Physics through every lens, all prices
Physics	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,122 of 1,143 launches	Without the breakout1,142 of 1,143 launches	Last 18 months313 of 1,143 launches
Launches counted	1,14369 hits	1,12268 hits	1,14268 hits	31325 hits
Earned $100k+	6.0 in 1001 in 17	6.1 in 1001 in 17	6.0 in 1001 in 17	8.0 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$404top tenth $26,262+	$405	$404	$478
Chance against standard	the base	+0.4%no change	-1.4%0.1 fewer in 100	+32.3%2.0 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+0.2%$1 more	0.0%no change	+18.3%$74 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 1,143 launches.

Launches counted: 1,14369 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $404top tenth $26,262+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 1,143 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,12268 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $405
Chance against standard: +0.4%no change
Typical against standard: +0.2%$1 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (34.1% of the money): 1,142 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,14268 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $404
Chance against standard: -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 313 of 1,143.

Launches counted: 31325 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.0 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $478
Chance against standard: +32.3%2.0 more in 100
Typical against standard: +18.3%$74 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 12 to 36 months old: 1,143 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 1,143 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (34.1% of the money): 1,142 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 313 of 1,143.

Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Strategy through every lens, all prices
Strategy	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,305 of 4,686 launches	Without the breakout4,685 of 4,686 launches	Last 18 months1,463 of 4,686 launches
Launches counted	4,686290 hits	4,305262 hits	4,685289 hits	1,46397 hits
Earned $100k+	6.2 in 1001 in 16	6.1 in 1001 in 16	6.2 in 1001 in 16	6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$426top tenth $39,428+	$472	$426	$498
Chance against standard	the base	-1.7%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.3%no change	+7.1%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+10.8%$46 more	0.0%no change	+16.9%$72 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,686 launches.

Launches counted: 4,686290 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $426top tenth $39,428+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,686 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,305262 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $472
Chance against standard: -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +10.8%$46 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (14.8% of the money): 4,685 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,685289 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $426
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,463 of 4,686.

Launches counted: 1,46397 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $498
Chance against standard: +7.1%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +16.9%$72 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,686 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,686 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (14.8% of the money): 4,685 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,463 of 4,686.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Physics + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.