Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Nature + Idler: a typical launch earns $1,666 in its first year
That is the median of 33 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 5 of 73 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 1.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 124% on the year before: 83 against 37.
- Price
- $1,666 median of 33 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +52.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 83 37 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 102 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 265 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.92xhits against expected | 1.31x to 3.07x | 73 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #208 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 73
- Hit rate
- 6.8%1.6% to 12.9%
- Expected rate
- 1.6%
- Against expected
- 1.92x1.31x to 3.07x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
73 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $165
- Median
- $1,374
- Top tenth
- $38,822
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +124%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Rusty's Retirement (opens the Steam store)2024 · 13,915 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.7M
- Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,415 reviews, 95% positiveest. $502k
- Birdwatching Notebook (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,612 reviews, 97% positiveest. $326k
- Ropuka's Idle Island (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,062 reviews, 95% positiveest. $311k
- Stone Simulator – Just Be a Rock (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,543 reviews, 94% positiveest. $125k
- Bugtopia (opens the Steam store)2025 · 869 reviews, 92% positiveest. $105k
- LurkBait Twitch Fishing (opens the Steam store)2024 · 552 reviews, 87% positiveest. $78k
- PolyPine (opens the Steam store)2025 · 370 reviews, 95% positiveest. $67k
More with Nature
pairs with Nature- Nature + Cozy$4,65132 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Nature$1,61878 launches priced, 129 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Nature$1,13283 launches priced, 159 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Nature$99986 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
- Nature + Incremental$99930 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Relaxing + Nature$818120 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
More with Idler
pairs with Idler- Cozy + Idler$3,51835 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Collectathon + Idler$1,77756 launches priced, 144 releases in 12 months
- Management + Idler$1,48690 launches priced, 270 releases in 12 months
- Idler + Creature Collector$1,45476 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
- Building + Idler$1,44436 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Idler$1,37437 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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