Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Simulation + Nature: a typical launch earns $1,132 in its first year

That is the median of 83 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 174 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 66% on the year before: 159 against 96.

Price: $1,132
Price vs a year earlier: −12.6%
Releases, 12 months: 159
Upcoming games: 380
Games on the store: 935

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Simulation + Nature on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.22%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.16% to 0.30%	40 ranked of 380 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#995 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.26xhits against expected	0.90x to 1.79x	174 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#1,487 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−26%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−42% to −9%	45 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,103 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−11%review growth against same-age games	−22% to +1%	45 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,333 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 14
Expected: 10.5

Launches: 174
Hit rate: 8.0%5.4% to 14.7%
Expected rate: 6.0%
Against expected: 1.26x0.90x to 1.79x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

174 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $1,284
Top tenth: $76,377

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 159
Prior 12 months: 96

Change: +66%
Against Steam: +20%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
NatureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Simulation

pairs with Simulation

Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Simulation

More with Nature

pairs with Nature

Nature + Cozy$4,65132 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
Nature + Idler$1,66633 launches priced, 83 releases in 12 months
Exploration + Nature$1,61878 launches priced, 129 releases in 12 months
Cute + Nature$99986 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
Nature + Incremental$99930 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
Relaxing + Nature$818120 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Nature

Verdicts

in development

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