Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Magic + RPG

Niche

Magic + RPG

Games tagged both Magic and RPG: 152 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Magic + RPG priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Magic and is about level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

34 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

2NDRunner-up
Tag oneMagic
9.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 11
Typical earnings$4,259
Launches127 / 12 hits
Pairno reading
--No reading
This pairMagic + RPG
--too few
to read
Odds--
Typical earnings--
Launches34

34 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.

1STWinner
Tag twoRPG
17.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.6 in 100
Typical earnings$8,454
Launches786 / 138 hits
Pairno reading
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices152 in pairUnder $559 in pair$5 to $1051 in pair$10 to $2034 in pair$20 to $408: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 34 games tagged both Magic and RPG priced $10 to $20. 4 of 34 of them earned $100k+, against 8.6 in 100 for Magic-only games and 17.8 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Magic alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.

Both: 34 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 34 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $5,266.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 34 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Eternal Strandsleads this pair23.4%
PairEternal Strands23.4%
MagicSouth of Midnight17.9%
RPGPath of Exile 218.0%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Magic + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Eternal Strands earned 23.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 152 Magic + RPG launches.
  • Magic is led by South of Midnight, with 17.9% of its money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 18.0% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Magic + RPG holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Magic + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view137 of 152 launchesWithout the breakout151 of 152 launchesLast 18 months42 of 152 launches
Launches counted1529 hits1379 hits1518 hits423 hits
Earned $100k+5.9 in 1001 in 176.6 in 1001 in 155.3 in 1001 in 193 of 42too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$911top tenth $34,278+$1,072$908$918
Chance against standardthe base+10.9%0.6 more in 100-10.5%0.6 fewer in 100+20.6%1.2 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+17.7%$161 more-0.3%$3 less+0.8%$7 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Magic and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 152 launches.

Launches counted
1529 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$911top tenth $34,278+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 152 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1379 hits
Earned $100k+
6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$1,072
Chance against standard
+10.9%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
+17.7%$161 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Eternal Strands (23.4% of the money): 151 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1518 hits
Earned $100k+
5.3 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$908
Chance against standard
-10.5%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.3%$3 less
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 152.

Launches counted
423 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 42too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$918
Chance against standard
+20.6%1.2 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+0.8%$7 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Magic and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 152 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 152 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Eternal Strands (23.4% of the money): 151 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 152.

Magic is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Magic through every lens, all prices
MagicBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view514 of 548 launchesWithout the breakout547 of 548 launchesLast 18 months143 of 548 launches
Launches counted54826 hits51425 hits54725 hits1438 hits
Earned $100k+4.7 in 1001 in 214.9 in 1001 in 214.6 in 1001 in 225.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings$675top tenth $23,362+$706$675$947
Chance against standardthe base+2.5%0.1 more in 100-3.7%0.2 fewer in 100+17.9%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+4.6%$31 more0.0%no change+40.3%$272 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 12 to 36 months old: 548 launches.

Launches counted
54826 hits
Earned $100k+
4.7 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings
$675top tenth $23,362+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 548 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
51425 hits
Earned $100k+
4.9 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings
$706
Chance against standard
+2.5%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+4.6%$31 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (17.9% of the money): 547 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
54725 hits
Earned $100k+
4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$675
Chance against standard
-3.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 143 of 548.

Launches counted
1438 hits
Earned $100k+
5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$947
Chance against standard
+17.9%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+40.3%$272 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 12 to 36 months old: 548 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 548 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (17.9% of the money): 547 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 143 of 548.

RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launchesWithout the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launchesLast 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches
Launches counted3,715270 hits3,125225 hits3,714269 hits1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+7.3 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 148.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$675top tenth $51,629+$729$675$859
Chance against standardthe base-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100-0.3%no change+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+8.0%$54 more0.0%no change+27.3%$184 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.

Launches counted
3,715270 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$675top tenth $51,629+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,125225 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$729
Chance against standard
-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+8.0%$54 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,714269 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$675
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

Launches counted
1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$859
Chance against standard
+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+27.3%$184 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Magic + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.