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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 4 Oct 2026

Niches / Magic + RPG

Niche

Magic + RPG

Games tagged both Magic and RPG: 152 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Magic + RPG priced $10 to $20, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Magic and is about level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Magic and trails RPG.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Magic + RPG is about level with Magic and trails RPG: 14.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 11.8 in 100 for Magic and 20.3 in 100 for RPG.

That is about 0.7 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.

TIETied
Tag oneMagic
11.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds11.8 in 100
Typical earnings$5,689
Launches127 / 15 hits
A tie, apart by2.9 in 100
TIETied
This pairMagic + RPG
14.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.7 in 100
$1k+85 in 100
$10k+44 in 100
Launches34 / 5 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
1STWinner
Tag twoRPG
20.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds20.3 in 100
Typical earnings$11,268
Launches789 / 160 hits
Pair trails by5.6 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices152 in pairUnder $559 in pair$5 to $1051 in pair$10 to $2034 in pair$20 to $408: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 34 games tagged both Magic and RPG priced $10 to $20. 14.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 10.8 in 100 for Magic-only games and 20.5 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix beats Magic alone and trails RPG alone.

Both: 34 games priced $10 to $20; 14.7 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 85 in 100 · $10k+ 44 in 100 · $100k+ 15 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 34 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Eternal Strandsleads this pair24.0%
PairEternal Strands24.0%
MagicSouth of Midnight18.6%
RPGPath of Exile 218.0%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Magic + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Eternal Strands earned 24.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 152 Magic + RPG launches.
  • Magic is led by South of Midnight, with 18.6% of its money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 18.0% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Magic + RPG holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Magic + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view137 of 152 launchesWithout the breakout151 of 152 launchesLast 18 months42 of 152 launches
Launches counted15210 hits13710 hits1519 hits423 hits
Earned $100k+6.6 in 1001 in 157.3 in 1001 in 146.0 in 1001 in 173 of 42too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$1,011top tenth $42,196+$1,179$1,001under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+10.9%0.7 more in 100-9.4%0.6 fewer in 100+8.6%0.6 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+16.6%$168 more-1.0%$10 lessunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Magic and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 152 launches.

Launches counted
15210 hits
Earned $100k+
6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$1,011top tenth $42,196+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 152 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
13710 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$1,179
Chance against standard
+10.9%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard
+16.6%$168 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Eternal Strands (24.0% of the money): 151 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1519 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$1,001
Chance against standard
-9.4%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-1.0%$10 less
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 152.

Launches counted
423 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 42too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+8.6%0.6 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Magic and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 152 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 152 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Eternal Strands (24.0% of the money): 151 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 152.

Magic is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Magic through every lens, all prices
MagicBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view514 of 548 launchesWithout the breakout547 of 548 launchesLast 18 months144 of 548 launches
Launches counted54831 hits51430 hits54730 hits14411 hits
Earned $100k+5.7 in 1001 in 185.8 in 1001 in 175.5 in 1001 in 187.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$695top tenth $27,628+$714$693$1,011
Chance against standardthe base+3.2%0.2 more in 100-3.0%0.2 fewer in 100+35.0%2.0 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+2.7%$19 more-0.3%$2 less+45.5%$316 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 12 to 36 months old: 548 launches.

Launches counted
54831 hits
Earned $100k+
5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$695top tenth $27,628+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 548 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
51430 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$714
Chance against standard
+3.2%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+2.7%$19 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (18.6% of the money): 547 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
54730 hits
Earned $100k+
5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$693
Chance against standard
-3.0%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.3%$2 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 144 of 548.

Launches counted
14411 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$1,011
Chance against standard
+35.0%2.0 more in 100
Typical against standard
+45.5%$316 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 12 to 36 months old: 548 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 548 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (18.6% of the money): 547 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 144 of 548.

RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,132 of 3,723 launchesWithout the breakout3,722 of 3,723 launchesLast 18 months1,023 of 3,723 launches
Launches counted3,723297 hits3,132251 hits3,722296 hits1,02385 hits
Earned $100k+8.0 in 1001 in 138.0 in 1001 in 128.0 in 1001 in 138.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$701top tenth $63,965+$766$701$893
Chance against standardthe base+0.5%no change-0.3%no change+4.2%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+9.3%$65 more0.0%no change+27.4%$192 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,723 launches.

Launches counted
3,723297 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$701top tenth $63,965+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 591 of 3,723 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,132251 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$766
Chance against standard
+0.5%no change
Typical against standard
+9.3%$65 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,722 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,722296 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$701
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,023 of 3,723.

Launches counted
1,02385 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$893
Chance against standard
+4.2%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
+27.4%$192 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,723 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 591 of 3,723 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,722 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,023 of 3,723.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Magic + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.