Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Hex Grid + Strategy
Games tagged both Hex Grid and Strategy: 68 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Hex Grid + Strategy priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is level with Hex Grid and trails Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
24 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
26 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
24 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both Hex Grid and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 8.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 50.0 for Hex Grid-only games and 16.7 for Strategy-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 24 games priced $10 to $20; 8.3 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 12), typical first-year earnings $8,906.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Hex Grid + Strategy is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view64 of 68 launches | Without the breakout67 of 68 launches | Last 18 months36 of 68 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 683 hits | 643 hits | 672 hits | 360 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 0.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,315top tenth $44,925+ | $1,415 | $1,214 | $1,415 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +6.8%0.3 more in 100 | -31.8%1.4 fewer in 100 | -100.0%4.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.6%$100 more | -7.7%$101 less | +7.6%$100 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Hex Grid and Strategy, 6 to 30 months old: 68 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 68 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hexguardian (18.6% of the money): 67 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 36 of 68.
Hex Grid is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Hex Grid | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view92 of 97 launches | Without the breakout96 of 97 launches | Last 18 months51 of 97 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 974 hits | 924 hits | 963 hits | 510 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 0.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $727top tenth $18,896+ | $808 | $727 | $800 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.9%0.2 more in 100 | -24.4%1.0 fewer in 100 | -100.0%4.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +11.1%$81 more | 0.0%no change | +10.0%$73 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Hex Grid, 6 to 30 months old: 97 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 97 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Sandwalkers (18.7% of the money): 96 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 51 of 97.
Strategy holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,988 of 5,391 launches | Without the breakout5,390 of 5,391 launches | Last 18 months3,128 of 5,391 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,391337 hits | 4,988308 hits | 5,390336 hits | 3,128178 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 6.2 in 1001 in 16 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $505top tenth $44,532+ | $545 | $505 | $505 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.6%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.5%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.9%$40 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 6 to 30 months old: 5,391 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 403 of 5,391 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Spire 2 (17.1% of the money): 5,390 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,128 of 5,391.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Hex Grid + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.