Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Difficult + Linear: a typical launch earns $242 in its first year
That is the median of 33 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 0 of 53 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 1.3 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 44% on the year before: 20 against 36.
- Price
- $242 median of 33 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −50.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 20 36 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 42 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 188 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.69xhits against expected | 0.69x to 1.29x | 53 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,781 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 53
- Hit rate
- 0.0%0.0% to 0.0%
- Expected rate
- 2.5%
- Against expected
- 0.69x0.69x to 1.29x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
53 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $282
- Top tenth
- $3,528
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −44%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Through the Nightmares (opens the Steam store)2025 · 68 reviews, 97% positiveest. $28k
- Truxton 2 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 54 reviews, 92% positiveest. $8.7k
- Quetzal's Call (opens the Steam store)2025 · 34 reviews, 88% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Rat Quest (opens the Steam store)2024 · 62 reviews, 93% positiveest. $6.3k
- Re-Activated (opens the Steam store)2026 · 26 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- DeadWire (opens the Steam store)2025 · 18 reviews, 100% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- Grind Stormer (opens the Steam store)2024 · 19 reviews, 63% positiveest. $1k to $10k
- The Legend of Shiande (opens the Steam store)2026 · 46 reviews, 100% positiveest. $1k to $10k
More with Difficult
pairs with Difficult- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Difficult$3,03570 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Action Roguelike$2,42672 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Souls-like$2,12341 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
More with Linear
pairs with Linear- Walking Simulator + Linear$1,56566 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Linear$1,11182 launches priced, 104 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Linear$91095 launches priced, 129 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Linear$84831 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Linear$808121 launches priced, 153 releases in 12 months
- Female Protagonist + Linear$79940 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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