Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Deckbuilding + Strategy
Deckbuilding + Strategy
Games tagged both Deckbuilding and Strategy: 410 indie paid launches, 46 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Deckbuilding + Strategy priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Deckbuilding + Strategy is about level with Deckbuilding and beats Strategy: 26.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 28.6 in 100 for Deckbuilding and 18.8 in 100 for Strategy.
That is about 1.3 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 119 games tagged both Deckbuilding and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 26.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 32.7 in 100 for Deckbuilding-only games and 17.5 in 100 for Strategy-only games, so the mix trails Deckbuilding alone and beats Strategy alone.
Both: 119 games priced $10 to $20; 26.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $25,522.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 119 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Deckbuilding + Strategy is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view372 of 410 launches | Without the breakout409 of 410 launches | Last 18 months147 of 410 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 41046 hits | 37242 hits | 40945 hits | 14714 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.2 in 100 | 11.3 in 100 | 11.0 in 100 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,047top tenth $124,867+ | $2,679 | $1,980 | $1,839 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.6%0.1 more in 100 | -1.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | -15.1%1.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +30.9%$632 more | -3.3%$67 less | -10.2%$208 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Deckbuilding and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 410 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 410 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (45.2% of the money): 409 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 147 of 410.
Deckbuilding holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Deckbuilding | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view535 of 577 launches | Without the breakout576 of 577 launches | Last 18 months199 of 577 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 57766 hits | 53561 hits | 57665 hits | 19919 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.4 in 100 | 11.4 in 100 | 11.3 in 100 | 9.5 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,232top tenth $128,583+ | $2,653 | $2,232 | $1,916 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.3%no change | -1.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | -16.5%1.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +18.9%$421 more | 0.0%no change | -14.2%$316 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Deckbuilding, 12 to 36 months old: 577 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 577 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (39.1% of the money): 576 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 199 of 577.
Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,307 of 4,688 launches | Without the breakout4,687 of 4,688 launches | Last 18 months1,459 of 4,688 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,688325 hits | 4,307297 hits | 4,687324 hits | 1,459107 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 15 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $439top tenth $49,022+ | $496 | $439 | $521 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +5.8%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +13.0%$57 more | 0.0%no change | +18.7%$82 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,688 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,688 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (15.2% of the money): 4,687 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,459 of 4,688.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Deckbuilding + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.