Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Adventure / Supernatural
Adventure + Supernatural: a typical launch earns $808 in its first year
That is the median of 75 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 10 of 162 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 49% on the year before: 121 against 81.
- Price
- $808 median of 75 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −57.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 121 81 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 310 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 747 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.20%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.09% to 0.38% | 28 ranked of 310 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #5,060 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.33xhits against expected | 0.93x to 1.98x | 162 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,222 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 162
- Hit rate
- 6.2%2.6% to 11.9%
- Expected rate
- 4.2%
- Against expected
- 1.33x0.93x to 1.98x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
162 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $81
- Median
- $1,303
- Top tenth
- $30,580
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +49%
Parent tags
- AdventureNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- SupernaturalNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- The Séance of Blake Manor (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,736 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.5M
- The Mermaid Mask (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,880 reviews, 99% positiveest. $1.2M
- Bye Sweet Carole (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,051 reviews, 72% positiveest. $532k
- The Scourge | Tai Ương (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,198 reviews, 93% positiveest. $485k
- Ghostbusters: Spirits Unleashed Ecto Edition (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,144 reviews, 89% positiveest. $463k
- Mama's Sleeping Angels (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,058 reviews, 93% positiveest. $214k
- Hospital 666 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,204 reviews, 71% positiveest. $195k
- Ghost Janitors (opens the Steam store)2024 · 933 reviews, 87% positiveest. $189k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Supernatural
pairs with Supernatural- Thriller + Supernatural$5,86733 launches priced, 42 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Supernatural$5,82533 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
- Walking Simulator + Supernatural$3,23435 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Supernatural$2,74350 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Supernatural$2,68995 launches priced, 122 releases in 12 months
- Survival Horror + Supernatural$2,54732 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.