Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Adventure + Logic: a typical launch earns $606 in its first year
That is the median of 81 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 6 of 158 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 9.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 25% on the year before: 116 against 93.
- Price
- $606 median of 81 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −42.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 116 93 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 241 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 740 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.17% | 8 ranked of 241 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #5,914 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.75xhits against expected | 0.51x to 1.19x | 158 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,422 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 158
- Hit rate
- 3.8%1.3% to 7.0%
- Expected rate
- 5.7%
- Against expected
- 0.75x0.51x to 1.19x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
158 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $516
- Top tenth
- $16,604
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +25%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Murders on the Yangtze River (opens the Steam store)2024 · 15,887 reviews, 96% positiveest. $2.9M
- The Incident at Galley House (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,234 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.5M
- The Artisan of Glimmith (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,584 reviews, 97% positiveest. $615k
- Staffer Retro : A Supernatural Mystery Quest (opens the Steam store)2026 · 968 reviews, 89% positiveest. $490k
- Strange Jigsaws (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,691 reviews, 99% positiveest. $462k
- Mind Over Magnet (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,348 reviews, 89% positiveest. $273k
- Demons' Timeline (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,114 reviews, 97% positiveest. $248k
- Confidential Killings - A Detective Game (opens the Steam store)2026 · 720 reviews, 76% positiveest. $219k
More with Adventure
pairs with Adventure- Adventure + Cozy$32,10838 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Narrative$12,85033 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + LGBTQ+$7,36637 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Online Co-Op$6,34186 launches priced, 187 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Base Building$5,35342 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Building$4,85745 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
More with Logic
pairs with Logic- Difficult + Logic$1,87747 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Logic$1,13385 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Logic$72833 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Logic$71766 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Logic$60752 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Minimalist + Logic$53692 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.