Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Mystery + Logic: a typical launch earns $728 in its first year

That is the median of 33 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 72 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 103% on the year before: 71 against 35.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $728
Price vs a year earlier: −25.0%
Releases, 12 months: 71
Upcoming games: 126
Games on the store: 327

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Mystery + Logic on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.03% to 0.14%	9 ranked of 126 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#5,897 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.90xhits against expected	0.62x to 1.47x	72 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#3,434 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 4
Expected: 4.8

Launches: 72
Hit rate: 5.6%0.0% to 11.2%
Expected rate: 6.7%
Against expected: 0.90x0.62x to 1.47x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

72 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $4
Median: $768
Top tenth: $41,422

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 71
Prior 12 months: 35

Change: +103%

Parent tags

MysteryNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
LogicGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Mystery

pairs with Mystery

Mystery + Choices Matter$6,00949 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
Anime + Mystery$5,55743 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
Mystery + Female Protagonist$5,30753 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
Detective + Mystery$5,207106 launches priced, 184 releases in 12 months
Cinematic + Mystery$4,60234 launches priced, 41 releases in 12 months
Surreal + Mystery$4,52440 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Mystery

More with Logic

pairs with Logic

Difficult + Logic$1,87747 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
Cute + Logic$1,13385 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Logic$71766 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
Exploration + Logic$60752 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Logic$60681 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
Minimalist + Logic$53692 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Logic

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.